Twins vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 5, 2023

April 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (4-1) and the Miami Marlins (2-4) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. The Twins are -116 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Marlins (-102).

Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Jesus Luzardo.

Twins vs. Marlins Odds

Twins odds to win: -116
Marlins odds to win: -102
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 7 runs

Twins vs. Marlins Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 5, 2023
Time: 1:10 PM ET
TV: BSFL

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+

Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Twins vs. Marlins?

Twins and Marlins Betting Trends (2022)

The Twins won 55 of the 91 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (60.4%).

In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -116 or shorter last year, Minnesota finished with a record of 51-33 (60.7%).

Last season, the Marlins won 33 out of the 97 games, or 34%, in which they were the underdog.

Miami had a record of 29-60, a 32.6% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by -102 or more by sportsbooks last season.

The Twins combined with their opponents to go over the total 73 times last season for a 73-76-12 record against the over/under.

The Marlins and their opponents hit the over in 70 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Twins Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Twins were the 17th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.3 runs per game (696 total).

Minnesota averaged 1.1 home runs per game to rank 13th in the majors with 178 total home runs last season.

The Twins had the 11th-ranked batting average in the majors (.248).

The team’s 8.4 strikeouts per game ranked 12th in MLB.

The Twins pitching staff ranked 20th in the majors last season with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Minnesota’s 3.98 team ERA ranked 19th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 10 total runs (1.7 per game) this season.

Miami has hit five homers this season, which ranks 19th in the majors.

The Marlins have a team batting average of .233 this season, which ranks 23rd among MLB teams.

Miami ranks last in strikeouts per game (10.7) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have a 5.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, worst in baseball.

Miami has the 14th-ranked ERA (4.50) in the majors this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Lopez (1-0) makes the start for the Twins, his second of the season.

Carlos Correa finished last season with a .291 batting average while adding 22 home runs and 64 RBI.

Kyle Farmer finished with 78 RBI while batting .253 and hitting 14 homers.

Jose Miranda finished last season with 15 home runs, 66 RBI and a batting average of .268.

Max Kepler hit .227 with an OBP of .320, and a slugging percentage of .348.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins’ Luzardo will make his second start of the season.

Luis Arraez has put up a team-best batting average of .478 and leads the Marlins in runs batted in (two).

Nick Fortes has hit one home runs with two RBI. Both pace his team.

Garrett Cooper has a team-best one home runs and two runs batted in.

Jorge Soler’s one home runs and two RBI both lead his team.

Twins and Marlins Injuries

Twins: Gilberto Celestino: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Max Kepler: day-to-day (Knee), Kenta Maeda: day-to-day (Arm)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)