Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 5, 2023

April 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (3-2) and the Philadelphia Phillies (1-4) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET. The Yankees are -158 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Phillies (+135).

Gerrit Cole takes the mound for New York while Aaron Nola is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Phillies Odds

Yankees odds to win: -158
Phillies odds to win: +135
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 5, 2023
Time: 1:05 PM ET
TV: YES

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Phillies?

Yankees and Phillies Betting Trends (2022)

The Yankees went 92-56 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 62.2% of those games).

New York had a record of 66-34 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -158 or shorter last year (66%).

The Phillies were underdogs 70 times last season and won 33, or 47.1%, of those games.

Philadelphia had a record of 10-10, a 50% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +135 or more by oddsmakers last season.

The Yankees combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 78 times last season for a 78-85-6 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Phillies went over the total set by bookmakers in 90 of 179 chances last season.

Yankees Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Yankees were the second-highest scoring team in baseball averaging five runs per game (807 total).

The New York Yankees hit a league-leading 254 home runs last season, averaging 1.6 per game.

The Yankees’ .241 batting average ranked 15th in the majors.

The club’s 8.6 strikeouts per game ranked 18th in baseball.

The Yankees pitching staff ranked fifth in MLB last season with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 3.31 team ERA ranked third across all MLB pitching staffs.

Phillies Stats & Insights (2022)

The Phillies were among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking seventh with 747 total runs last season.

Philadelphia ranked sixth in Major League Baseball with 205 home runs.

The Phillies’ .252 batting average was among the best in baseball, ranking ninth in MLB.

Philadelphia ranked 13th in MLB in strikeouts per game at 8.4 whiffs per contest.

The Phillies struck out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-best in MLB.

Philadelphia pitched to a 3.97 last season, which ranked 17th in baseball.

Yankees Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Yankees will look to Cole (1-0) in his second start of the season.

Aaron Judge hit 62 home runs last season, drove in 131 runs and posted a .311 batting average.

Anthony Rizzo collected 104 hits, posted an OBP of .345, and a .480 SLG.

Gleyber Torres finished with a .255 average, 24 home runs and 76 RBI last season.

DJ LeMahieu hit .261 with an OBP of .357, and a slugging percentage of .377.

Phillies Key Players to Watch (2022)

Nola will take to the mound for the Phillies, his second start of the season.

Trea Turner racked up a batting average of .298 with 100 runs batted in last season.

Kyle Schwarber launched 46 home runs a season ago while slugging .504.

J.T. Realmuto hit .274 last season with 26 doubles, five triples, 22 home runs and 42 walks.

Alec Bohm hit .278 with 23 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

Yankees and Phillies Injuries

Yankees: Ben Rortvedt: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Harrison Bader: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Lou Trivino: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Tommy Kahnle: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Phillies: Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl), Josh Harrison: day-to-day (Ankle)