Guardians vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 7, 2023

April 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Coming off of a 2-1 series win over the Athletics, the Cleveland Guardians (5-2) are -130 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners (2-5). The series begins at Progressive Field, starting on Friday at 4:10 PM ET on BSGL.

Aaron Civale gets the starting nod for Cleveland while Logan Gilbert is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds

Guardians odds to win: -130
Mariners odds to win: +110
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 7, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSGL

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Mariners?

Guardians and Mariners Betting Trends

The Guardians have been the moneyline favorite three total times this season. They’ve finished 2-1 in those games.

Cleveland has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -130 or shorter.

The Mariners lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.

Seattle has played as an underdog of +110 or more once this season and lost that game.

In the seven games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total four times (4-2-1).

The Mariners and their opponents have gone over the total this season in four of their seven opportunities.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians have the No. 4 offense in MLB action scoring 5.4 runs per game (38 total runs).

Cleveland ranks 22nd in MLB play with five home runs. They average 0.7 per game.

The Guardians have the 15th-ranked batting average in the majors (.253).

Cleveland’s 7.7 strikeouts per game rank 14th in the majors.

The 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Guardians pitching staff ranks 17th in MLB.

Cleveland has a 4.07 team ERA that ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have scored the 15th-most runs in the league this season with 29 (4.1 per game).

Seattle has hit six homers this season, which ranks 17th in the majors.

The Mariners’ .222 batting average ranks 25th in the league this season.

Seattle ranks 24th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Mariners have an 8.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

Seattle pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.38 ERA this year, eighth-best in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

The Guardians will look to Civale (1-0) in his second start of the season.

Jose Ramirez is batting .310 with zero home runs and three RBI for Cleveland this season.

Myles Straw leads Cleveland in batting with a .364 average.

Steven Kwan leads Cleveland in RBI with eight while batting .323.

Andres Gimenez has nine hits and an OBP of .387 to go with a slugging percentage of .464 this season.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

The Mariners’ Gilbert will make his second start of the season.

Ty France has put up a team-best batting average of .357 and leads the Mariners in runs batted in (five).

Julio Rodriguez has four doubles, a home run and three walks while batting .267.

Eugenio Suarez paces the Mariners in runs batted in (five) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .357.

A.J. Pollock has shown his power as he paces his team with two home runs and five runs batted in.

Guardians and Mariners Injuries

Guardians: Triston McKenzie: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Taylor Trammell: 10 Day IL (Hand), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor)