Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 7, 2023

April 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (3-4) will look to Pete Alonso, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (3-4) Friday at 1:10 PM ET on SNY. The Mets are -181 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

New York’s Tylor Megill and Miami’s Edward Cabrera have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Mets odds to win: -181
Marlins odds to win: +153
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 7, 2023
Time: 1:10 PM ET
TV: SNY

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

Mets and Marlins Betting Trends

The Mets are 2-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).

New York has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -181 or shorter.

The Marlins have won two of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Miami has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +153.

The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers seven times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in four of those games (4-3-0).

The Marlins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in two of their seven opportunities.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 21st in runs scored with 23, 3.3 per game.

New York is 22nd in MLB action with five total home runs.

The Mets’ .208 batting average ranks 27th in the majors.

New York strikes out six times per game to rank third in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff is eighth in MLB with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 5.19 team ERA that ranks 22nd across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 15 total runs (2.1 per game) this season.

Miami’s seven home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins have a team batting average of .234 this season, which ranks 20th among MLB teams.

Miami ranks last in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.6 whiffs per contest.

The Marlins strike out just 6.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 29th in MLB.

Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.14 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets will send Megill (1-0) to the mound for his second start of the season.

Alonso leads New York in home runs (three) and runs batted in (six) this season while batting .192.

Brandon Nimmo has collected five hits this season and has an OBP of .393. He’s slugging .286 on the year.

Starling Marte leads New York with a .280 batting average.

Francisco Lindor has five hits and an OBP of .379 to go with a slugging percentage of .364 this season.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Cabrera will take to the mound for the Marlins, his second start of the season.

Jorge Soler paces the Marlins in home runs (three) and runs batted in (six).

Luis Arraez is batting .458 to lead his team.

Garrett Cooper has a triple and a home run while hitting .261.

Nick Fortes is batting .300 with a home run.

Mets and Marlins Injuries

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), Brett Baty: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Jazz Chisholm: day-to-day (Shoulder)