Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 8, 2023

The New York Mets (4-4), led by the red-hot Pete Alonso and his two-game homer streak, are -169 favorites to pick up a win over the Miami Marlins (3-5) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live from Citi Field and broadcast on SNY.

New York’s Kodai Senga gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

• Mets odds to win: -169
• Marlins odds to win: +146
• Spread: Mets -1.5
• Total: 7.5 runs

Mets vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023
• Time: 4:10 PM ET
• TV: SNY

Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

Mets and Marlins Betting Trends

The Mets have won 60% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (3-2).

New York has played as moneyline favorites of -169 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.

The Marlins have been underdogs in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests.

Miami has played as an underdog of +146 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers eight times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in five of those games (5-3-0).

The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in three of their eight games with a total this season.

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Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 18 offense in MLB action scoring 4.0 runs per game (32 total runs).

New York is 14th in MLB action with eight total home runs.

The Mets are 28th in MLB with a .209 batting average.

New York’s hitters strike out 6.6 times per game, the seventh-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff ranks 11th in the majors with a collective 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 4.90 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

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Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 18 total runs (2.3 per game) this season.

Miami has hit eight homers this season, which ranks 14th in the majors.

The Marlins rank 23rd in MLB with a .229 team batting average.

Miami ranks last in strikeouts per game (10.1) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have a 7.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.82 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets are sending Senga (1-0) out to make his second start of the season.

Alonso leads New York in home runs (four) and runs batted in (eight) this season while batting .226.

Francisco Lindor is batting .240 with an OBP of .412 and a slugging percentage of .480 this season.

Brandon Nimmo has five hits this season and a slash line of .227/.455/.273.

Starling Marte leads New York with a .276 batting average.

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Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins’ Rogers will make his second start of the season.

Jorge Soler has a team-best three home runs and six runs batted in.

Luis Arraez’s .444 batting average leads his team.

Garrett Cooper is hitting .296 with a triple and two home runs.

Nick Fortes is batting .231 with a home run and a walk.

Mets and Marlins Injuries

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

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Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 3, Marlins 2

Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs

How to Bet on Mets vs. Marlins

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