Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 8, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (2-5) are favorites (-145) on the moneyline when they square off against the Cincinnati Reds (3-3) Saturday at 4:05 PM ET, live on NBCS-PH+.

Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -145
  • Reds odds to win: +123
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Phillies vs. Reds Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH+
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    Who Will Win Phillies vs. Reds?

    Phillies and Reds Betting Trends

    The Phillies have been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.

    Philadelphia has played as moneyline favorites of -145 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

    The Reds have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.

    Cincinnati has played as an underdog of +123 or more once this season and lost that game.

    The Phillies have played in seven games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total three times (3-4-0).

    The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in three of their six opportunities.

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    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (23 total, 3.3 per game).

    Philadelphia ranks 23rd in baseball with six total home runs.

    The Phillies have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.272).

    Philadelphia strikes out 9.7 times per game, the No. 21 average in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.3 K/9, the seventh-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia has the 28th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (6.21).

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    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds rank 22nd in the league with 27 total runs scored this season.

    Cincinnati’s 10 home runs rank eighth in Major League Baseball.

    The Reds’ .250 batting average ranks 15th in the league this season.

    Cincinnati is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking ninth with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.

    The Reds strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-best in MLB.

    Cincinnati has pitched to a 4.92 ERA this season, which ranks 19th in baseball.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    The Phillies will look to Falter (0-1) in his second start this season.

    Trea Turner has been key for Philadelphia with no home runs, but two RBI and a batting average of .375 this season.

    Alec Bohm has eight hits and an OBP of .429 to go with a slugging percentage of .542 this season.

    J.T. Realmuto has collected seven base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .565 this season.

    Brandon Marsh is batting .278 with an OBP of .316 and a slugging percentage of .667 this season.

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    Reds Key Players to Watch

    Lodolo will take to the mound for the Reds, his second start of the season.

    Jonathan India has two doubles, a home run and three walks while hitting .318.

    Jason Vosler has put his power on display as he paces his team with three home runs and seven runs batted in.

    TJ Friedl has a double, a triple, two home runs and a walk while hitting .333.

    Spencer Steer has two doubles, a home run and four walks while hitting .250.

    Phillies and Reds Injuries

    Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Nick Senzel: 10 Day IL (Toe), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

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    Phillies vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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    How to Bet on Phillies vs. Reds

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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