Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 9, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (6-3) and San Diego Padres (5-4) meet Sunday at Truist Park, starting at 7:10 PM ET on ESPN. The Braves are -119 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Padres are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +162 odds.

Dylan Dodd will get the ball for Atlanta while San Diego will counter with Seth Lugo.

Braves vs. Padres Odds

• Braves odds to win: -119
• Padres odds to win: +100
• Spread: Padres -1.5
• Total: 9 runs

Braves vs. Padres Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, April 9, 2023
• Time: 7:10 PM ET
• TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Braves vs. Padres?

Braves and Padres Betting Trends

The Braves have won four of the seven games they were the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter, Atlanta has a 4-2 record (winning 66.7% of its games).

This season, the Padres have won two out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog.

San Diego has played as an underdog of +100 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Braves have played in nine games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total three times (3-6-0).

The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in five of their nine opportunities.

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Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves score the 10th-most runs in baseball (44 total, 4.9 per game).

Atlanta is sixth-best in baseball with 12 total home runs.

The Braves have the eighth-best batting average in the league (.265).

Atlanta strikes out 9.0 times per game to rank 19th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 8.2 K/9, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Atlanta has the fifth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.15).

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Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored the 17th-most runs in the league this season with 40 (4.4 per game).

San Diego ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 12 home runs.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .229 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

San Diego has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the eighth-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Padres strike out 9.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-best in MLB.

San Diego has pitched to a 4.49 ERA this season, which ranks 14th in baseball.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Dodd (1-0) pitches for the Braves to make his second start of the season.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in batting average (.361), home runs (three) and runs batted in (10) this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has 11 hits and an OBP of .364 to go with a slugging percentage of .487 this season.

Austin Riley is slashing .313/.425/.531 this season for the Braves.

Orlando Arcia has 10 hits and an OBP of .324 to go with a slugging percentage of .514 this season.

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Padres Key Players to Watch

Lugo heads to the mound for the Padres to make his second start of the season, seeking his second win.

Xander Bogaerts paces the Padres with three home runs and eight runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .333.

Juan Soto is batting .182 with a double, two home runs and eight walks.

Jake Cronenworth is hitting .214 with two doubles, a home run and six walks.

Trent Grisham is hitting .242 with two doubles, two home runs and five walks.

Braves and Padres Injuries

Braves: Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Left hamstring), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

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Braves vs. Padres Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 3, Padres 2

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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