Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 9, 2023

The New York Mets (5-4) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Miami Marlins (3-6) when the teams meet at 1:40 PM ET Sunday. The Mets are -142 favorites to keep the Marlins out of the win column in the series.

New York’s Carlos Carrasco and Miami’s Braxton Garrett have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -142
  • Marlins odds to win: +121
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Mets vs. Marlins Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, April 9, 2023
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: SNY
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

    Mets and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Mets have been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They’ve finished 4-2 in those games.

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -142 or shorter, New York has a record of 2-1 (66.7%).

    This season, the Marlins have been the underdog seven times and won two of those games.

    Miami has played as an underdog of +121 or more twice this season and lost both games.

    The Mets have combined with opponents to go over the total five times this season for a 5-4-0 record against the over/under.

    The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in three of their nine chances.

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    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 19 offense in MLB action scoring 4.1 runs per game (37 total runs).

    New York ranks 12th in MLB play with 10 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

    The Mets’ .213 batting average ranks 27th in the majors.

    New York strikes out 6.8 times per game, the sixth-fewest mark in MLB.

    The Mets pitching staff is 18th in the majors with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York has the 15th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.56).

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    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 20 total runs (2.2 per game) this season.

    Miami ranks 17th in Major League Baseball with nine home runs.

    The Marlins rank 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .221.

    Miami is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 28th with an average of 9.8 strikeouts per game.

    The Marlins average just 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 26th in the league.

    Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.90 ERA this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Carrasco (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Mets, his second of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (five) and runs batted in (10) this season while batting .235.

    Starling Marte’s batting average of .281 leads all New York hitters this season.

    Francisco Lindor has seven hits this season and a slash line of .241/.395/.448.

    Brandon Nimmo has collected five hits this season and has an OBP of .421. He’s slugging .231 on the year.

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    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins will send out Garrett for his first start of the season.

    Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .467.

    Jorge Soler has hit three home runs with six RBI. Both pace his team.

    Garrett Cooper is hitting .310 with a triple, two home runs and two walks.

    Jazz Chisholm is batting .200 with a double, two home runs and three walks.

    Mets and Marlins Injuries

    Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)

    Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

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    Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 8, Marlins 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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    How to Bet on Mets vs. Marlins

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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