Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 10, 2023

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Mets, the Miami Marlins (4-6) are -131 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (3-6). The series begins at Citizens Bank Park, starting on Monday at 6:40 PM ET on NBCS-PH.

Miami’s Sandy Alcantara and Philadelphia’s Matt Strahm have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds

  • Marlins odds to win: -131
  • Phillies odds to win: +111
  • Spread: Marlins -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, April 10, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH
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    Who Will Win Marlins vs. Phillies?

    Marlins and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Marlins have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.

    Miami has played as moneyline favorites of -131 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

    This season, the Phillies have won one out of the five games in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Philadelphia has a record of 1-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +111 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Marlins have played in 10 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total four times (4-5-1).

    The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in four of their nine games with a total this season.

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    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have the No. 27 offense in baseball scoring 2.7 runs per game (27 total runs).

    Miami averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 11th in baseball with 11 total home runs .

    The Marlins rank 25th in MLB with a .230 batting average.

    Miami’s batters strike out 9.5 times per game, the 28th-most in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 7.8 K/9, which ranks 25th in MLB.

    Miami’s 4.60 team ERA ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

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    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have scored the 26th-most runs in the league this season with just 30 (3.3 per game).

    Philadelphia’s seven home runs rank 26th in MLB this season.

    The Phillies’ .261 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking 10th in MLB.

    Philadelphia is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 27th with an average of 10.2 strikeouts per game.

    The Phillies have a 9.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in the majors.

    Philadelphia pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.68 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Alcantara (1-0) pitches for the Marlins to make his third start of the season.

    Garrett Cooper is batting .324 this season with a team-high three home runs and seven RBI.

    Luis Arraez leads Miami in batting with a .471 average.

    Jorge Soler’s three home runs lead all Miami hitters, and he’s slugging .559.

    Bryan De La Cruz is batting .273 with an OBP of .346 and a slugging percentage of .455 this season.

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    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Strahm will get the start for the Phillies, his second of the season.

    Alec Bohm has accumulated a team-high two home runs and five runs batted in.

    Brandon Marsh is batting .333 with two doubles, two triples, a home run and two walks.

    Trea Turner is hitting .308 with a double, two triples and four walks.

    Bryson Stott has a club-high .429 batting average.

    Marlins and Phillies Injuries

    Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

    Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

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    Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 3, Marlins 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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    How to Bet on Marlins vs. Phillies

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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