Mets vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Social Navigation

Mets vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 11, 2023

MLB Predictions

Expect a display of power when Pete Alonso (5 HR) and the New York Mets (6-5) take on Trent Grisham (3 HR) and the San Diego Padres (6-5) at Citi Field at 7:10 PM ET live on SNY. Alonso and the Mets are -141 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup.

David Peterson starts for New York while Ryan Weathers is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -141
  • Padres odds to win: +120
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs

Mets vs. Padres Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: SNY

Who Will Win Mets vs. Padres?

Mets and Padres Betting Trends

The Mets have a 5-3 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).

New York has gone 2-2 (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -141 or shorter.

The Padres have been underdogs in five games this season and won three (60%) of those contests.

San Diego has played as an underdog of +120 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 11 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in six of those games (6-5-0).

The Padres’ games have gone over the total in six of their 11 chances.

[single_bonus id=”94701″]

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets are the 21st-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.0 runs per game (44 total).

New York ranks 17th in MLB action with 10 total home runs.

The Mets’ .218 batting average ranks 27th in the majors.

New York strikes out 7.2 times per game to rank seventh in baseball.

The Mets pitching staff ranks 12th in MLB with a collective 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has the 14th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.36).

[single_bonus id=”94702″]

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 12th in the league with 50 total runs scored this season.

San Diego ranks fifth in Major League Baseball with 15 home runs.

The Padres’ .229 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

San Diego ranks 20th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.4 Ks per contest.

The Padres have a 9.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.35 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Peterson (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Mets, his third of the season.

Alonso leads New York in home runs with five and runs batted in with 11.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .200 with an OBP of .405 and a slugging percentage of .233 this season.

Starling Marte leads New York with a .303 batting average.

Francisco Lindor has eight hits and an OBP of .362 to go with a slugging percentage of .405 this season.

[single_bonus id=”94703″]

Padres Key Players to Watch

Weathers will take to the mound for the Padres, his second start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts has racked up a team-best batting average of .325, and paces the Padres in home runs (three).

Juan Soto is batting .205 with two doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.

Nelson Cruz has put up a team-best nine runs batted in.

Ha-Seong Kim is batting .286 with four doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Mets and Padres Injuries

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

[single_bonus id=”94700″]

Mets vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Padres

    Get more MLB Picks, read the latest MLB game previews, and view the latest live MLB lines on Betsperts.

    If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on Baseball and find the best MLB betting sites and promo codes.

    [bonus_as_per_category cat_id=105]

    Latest from Bleacher Nation:

    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.