Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Bryson Stott (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Philadelphia Phillies (4-6) and Miami Marlins (4-7) meet Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, live on NBCS-PH+ from Citizens Bank Park. Stott and the Phillies are favored by bookmakers with -144 odds on the moneyline.

Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Jesus Luzardo.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

• Phillies odds to win: -144
• Marlins odds to win: +123
• Spread: Phillies -1.5
• Total: 8 runs

Phillies vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
• Time: 6:40 PM ET
• TV: NBCS-PH+

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

The Phillies have put together a 2-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -144 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games).

This season, the Marlins have won three out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Miami has played as an underdog of +123 or more twice this season and lost both games.

The Phillies have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total five times this season for a 5-5-0 record against the over/under.

So far this season, the Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in five of their 11 games with a total.

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Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 18th in runs scored with 45, 4.5 per game.

Philadelphia is 17th in MLB action with 10 total home runs.

The Phillies rank second in the majors with a .285 batting average.

Philadelphia’s 9.8 strikeouts per game rank 23rd in baseball.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Phillies pitching staff ranks 15th in MLB.

Philadelphia has a 5.40 team ERA that ranks 25th among all MLB pitching staffs.

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Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 30 (2.7 per game).

Miami has hit 12 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Marlins’ .233 batting average ranks 22nd in the league this season.

Miami ranks 26th in strikeouts per game (9.3) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have a 7.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 25th in the majors.

Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.53 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will look to Nola (0-1) in his third start this season.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in home runs with three and runs batted in with 11.

Brandon Marsh has collected 10 hits this season and has an OBP of .429. He’s slugging .923 on the year.

Trea Turner has 15 hits this season and a slash line of .349/.404/.465.

Nicholas Castellanos has 10 hits and an OBP of .381 to go with a slugging percentage of .472 this season.

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Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins will send Luzardo to the mound for his third start of the season.

Garrett Cooper has racked up a team-best three home runs and eight runs batted in.

Luis Arraez has a club-leading .500 batting average.

Jorge Soler paces the Marlins with three home runs.

Jazz Chisholm is batting .231 with a double, two home runs and three walks.

Phillies and Marlins Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Avisaíl García: day-to-day (Hamstring)

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Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 7, Marlins 5

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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