Mets vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 12, 2023

The San Diego Padres (7-5) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-106) in Wednesday’s contest versus the New York Mets (6-6). First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Padres are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +155 odds.

Tylor Megill gets the starting nod for New York while Blake Snell is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -113
  • Padres odds to win: -106
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, April 12, 2023
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Padres?

    Mets and Padres Betting Trends

    The Mets have a 5-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).

    New York has a 5-3 record (winning 62.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -113 or shorter.

    The Padres have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won four of those games.

    San Diego is 4-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -106 or more on the moneyline.

    The Mets have played in 12 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total six times (6-6-0).

    The Padres and their opponents have hit the over in six of their 12 games with a total this season.

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    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 23 offense in MLB play scoring 3.8 runs per game (46 total runs).

    New York ranks 23rd in MLB with 10 total home runs.

    The Mets have the fourth-worst batting average in the majors (.214).

    New York strikes out 7.3 times per game to rank seventh in baseball.

    The Mets pitching staff is 14th in MLB with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York’s 4.33 team ERA ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

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    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored the 15th-most runs in the league this season with 54 (4.5 per game).

    San Diego’s 16 home runs rank seventh in Major League Baseball.

    The Padres have a team batting average of .232 this season, which ranks 24th among MLB teams.

    San Diego ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.4 Ks per contest.

    The Padres strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

    San Diego has the 11th-ranked ERA (4.15) in the majors this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Megill (2-0) gets the start for the Mets, his third of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (five) and runs batted in (11) this season while batting .222.

    Brandon Nimmo is batting .188 with an OBP of .413 and a slugging percentage of .219 this season.

    Starling Marte is batting .297 to lead New York this season.

    Francisco Lindor has nine hits and an OBP of .373 to go with a slugging percentage of .400 this season.

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    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Snell will take to the mound for the Padres, his third start of the season.

    Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with four home runs and 10 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .333.

    Juan Soto is hitting .190 with two doubles, two home runs and 12 walks.

    Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .289 with four doubles, two home runs and four walks.

    Nelson Cruz has two doubles and two home runs while hitting .292.

    Mets and Padres Injuries

    Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

    Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

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    Mets vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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    How to Bet on Mets vs. Padres

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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