Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Wednesday, April 12, 2023

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Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 12, 2023

MLB Predictions

Coming off of a cycle in his last game, Luis Arraez leads the Miami Marlins (5-7) into action as +162 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies (4-7). Action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, live on MLB Network.

Zack Wheeler will get the ball for Philadelphia while Miami will counter with Edward Cabrera.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -192
  • Marlins odds to win: +162
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Phillies vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, April 12, 2023
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 40% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (2-3).

Philadelphia has played as moneyline favorites of -192 or shorter in just two games this season, which it split 1-1.

The Marlins have won four of the nine games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +162 odds on it winning this game.

The Phillies have played in 11 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total six times (6-5-0).

So far this season, the Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in six of their 12 games with a total.

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Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 21st-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.5 runs per game (49 total).

Philadelphia ranks 20th in baseball with 11 home runs. They average 1.0 per game.

The Phillies have the third-best batting average in the majors (.288).

Philadelphia strikes out 9.7 times per game to rank 22nd in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.0 K/9, which ranks 14th in the majors.

Philadelphia has a 5.65 team ERA that ranks 27th among all MLB pitching staffs.

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Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 38 total runs (3.2 per game) this season.

Miami ranks 13th in Major League Baseball with 14 home runs.

The Marlins have a team batting average of .245 this season, which ranks 18th among MLB teams.

Miami ranks 27th in strikeouts per game (9.3) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins strike out 7.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Miami has the 26th-ranked ERA (5.40) in the majors this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will look to Wheeler (0-1) in his third start of the season.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in home runs with three and runs batted in with 11.

Brandon Marsh is batting .407 with an OBP of .467 and a slugging percentage of .926 this season.

Trea Turner is slashing .313/.365/.417 this season for the Phillies.

Nicholas Castellanos has 12 hits and an OBP of .404 to go with a slugging percentage of .475 this season.

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Marlins Key Players to Watch

Cabrera will get the start for the Marlins, his third of the season.

Arraez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .537.

Garrett Cooper has shown his power as he leads his team with three home runs and eight RBI.

Jorge Soler has a team-high three home runs.

Jazz Chisholm has a double, a triple, two home runs and three walks while hitting .250.

Phillies and Marlins Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Avisaíl García: day-to-day (Hamstring)

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Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 8, Marlins 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.