Astros vs. Rangers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 14, 2023

April 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Texas Rangers (7-5) will look to Jonah Heim, who has blasted homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Houston Astros (6-7) Friday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros and Alex Bregman (who has a two-game home run streak of his own) are -164 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 8:10 PM ET live on MLB Network.

Luis Garcia will get the ball for Houston while Texas will counter with Martin Perez.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds

Astros odds to win: -164
Rangers odds to win: +139
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 14, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Rangers?

Astros and Rangers Betting Trends

The Astros have put together a 6-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.5% of those games).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -164 or shorter, Houston has a record of 2-3 (40%).

The Rangers have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.

Texas has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +139 moneyline set for this game.

The Astros have played in 13 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total nine times (9-4-0).

The Rangers’ games have gone over the total in eight of their 12 chances.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have the No. 7 offense in MLB action scoring 5.1 runs per game (66 total runs).

Houston is 15th in MLB action with 14 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Astros are 10th in MLB with a .256 batting average.

Houston strikes out 8.7 times per game to rank 15th in baseball.

The Astros pitching staff ranks 11th in MLB with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Houston has the sixth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.76).

Rangers Stats & Insights

The Rangers have scored 67 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB.

Texas ranks 15th in Major League Baseball with 14 home runs.

The Rangers rank 17th in MLB with a .243 team batting average.

Texas ranks sixth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.3 Ks per contest.

The Rangers average 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.

Texas has the 10th-best ERA (3.95) in the majors this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

Garcia (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Astros, his third this season.

Kyle Tucker is batting .311 this season with four home runs, both lead Houston hitters.

Yordan Alvarez is a key run producer for Houston with a .300 average, three homers and 16 RBI.

Chas McCormick has collected 11 base hits, an OBP of .370 and a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

Bregman has 10 hits and an OBP of .339 to go with a slugging percentage of .333 this season.

Rangers Key Players to Watch

The Rangers’ Perez will make his third start of the season.

Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with two home runs.

Adolis Garcia has hit two home runs with 11 RBI. Both lead his team.

Josh Jung paces the Rangers with two home runs.

Marcus Semien is hitting .212 with three doubles, a home run and a walk.

Astros and Rangers Injuries

Astros: Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Rangers: Mitch Garver: 10 Day IL (Knee), Leody Taveras: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Spencer Howard: 60 Day IL (Lat), Brett Martin: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Odorizzi: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Glenn Otto: 60 Day IL (Lat), Corey Seager: day-to-day (Hamstring)