Reds vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 13, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (4-7) are -127 favorites to break their three-game losing streak when they face the Philadelphia Phillies (4-8), losers of two in a row. The game begins Thursday at 6:40 PM ET on BSOH, live from Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter.

Reds vs. Phillies Odds

  • Reds odds to win: -127
  • Phillies odds to win: +108
  • Spread: Reds -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Reds vs. Phillies Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 13, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSOH
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    Who Will Win Reds vs. Phillies?

    Reds and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Reds have a 2-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).

    Cincinnati has gone 2-1 (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -127 or shorter.

    The Phillies have been underdogs in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests.

    Philadelphia has entered six games this season as the underdog by +108 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.

    The Reds have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 11 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in seven of those games (7-4-0).

    The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in six of their 12 opportunities.

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    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds have the No. 24 offense in MLB action scoring 4.5 runs per game (49 total runs).

    Cincinnati averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 20th in MLB action with 12 total home runs .

    The Reds’ .242 batting average ranks 18th in the majors.

    Cincinnati strikes out 9.5 times per game, the No. 13 average in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Reds has a collective 10.5 K/9, the second-best in the majors.

    Cincinnati has the 20th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.92).

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    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have scored the 21st-most runs in the league this season with 51 (4.3 per game).

    Philadelphia’s 11 home runs rank 23rd in Major League Baseball.

    The Phillies rank fourth in MLB with a .282 team batting average.

    Philadelphia ranks 24th with an average of 9.9 strikeouts per game.

    The Phillies average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (9.2) in the league this season.

    Philadelphia has the 25th-ranked ERA (5.28) in the majors this season.

    Reds Key Players to Watch

    Lodolo (1-0) takes the mound for the Reds to make his third start of the season.

    Jonathan India is batting .310 with one home run and three RBI for Cincinnati this season.

    Jake Fraley leads Cincinnati in runs batted in (nine) this season. He’s batting .333 while slugging .500.

    Spencer Steer has collected 11 base hits, an OBP of .390 and a slugging percentage of .583 this season.

    TJ Friedl leads Cincinnati in batting average (.350) this season.

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    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Falter will get the start for the Phillies, his third of the season.

    Alec Bohm leads the Phillies in home runs (three) and runs batted in (11).

    Brandon Marsh has four doubles, two triples, two home runs and three walks while hitting .387.

    Trea Turner is batting .321 with two doubles, two triples and four walks.

    Nicholas Castellanos has eight doubles and seven walks while batting .295.

    Reds and Phillies Injuries

    Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

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    Reds vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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    How to Bet on Reds vs. Phillies

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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