Padres vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 14, 2023

April 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (9-4), led by William Contreras on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the San Diego Padres (7-7) Friday at PETCO Park. The Padres are -171 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 9:40 PM ET on BSSD.

Michael Wacha will get the ball for San Diego while Milwaukee will counter with Eric Lauer.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds

Padres odds to win: -171
Brewers odds to win: +146
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 14, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Brewers?

Padres and Brewers Betting Trends

The Padres have compiled a 3-4 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 42.9% of those games).

San Diego has a 2-2 record (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -171 or shorter.

The Brewers have been underdogs in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.

Milwaukee has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +146 odds on it winning this game.

The Padres have combined with opponents to go over the total six times this season for a 6-8-0 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Brewers have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in five of 13 chances this season.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 15 offense in MLB play scoring 4.2 runs per game (59 total runs).

San Diego is sixth in baseball with 19 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

The Padres rank 27th in MLB with a .225 batting average.

San Diego strikes out 8.6 times per game, the No. 22 average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 17th in MLB.

San Diego’s 4.13 team ERA ranks 11th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers rank 11th in the league with 62 total runs scored this season.

Milwaukee has hit 17 homers this season, which ranks seventh in the majors.

The Brewers’ .256 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking 10th in MLB.

Milwaukee ranks 19th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.2 Ks per contest.

The Brewers average just 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in the league.

Milwaukee has the third-best ERA (2.82) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres will look to Wacha (2-0) in his third start this season.

Xander Bogaerts leads San Diego in batting average (.340), home runs (four) and runs batted in (10) this season.

Juan Soto has collected 10 hits this season and has an OBP of .355. He’s slugging .440 on the year.

Trent Grisham’s four home runs lead all San Diego hitters, and he’s slugging .480.

Ha-Seong Kim is batting .262 with an OBP of .326 and a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Lauer heads to the mound for the Brewers to make his third start of the season, seeking his second win.

Willy Adames has launched a team-high three home runs.

Brian Anderson has hit three home runs with 10 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with three home runs.

Garrett Mitchell has shown his power as he leads his team with three home runs.

Padres and Brewers Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)