Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 14, 2023

April 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-9) stumble into Friday’s matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (5-7) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET on BSOH with the Phillies listed as -150 favorites to right the ship.

Philadelphia’s Taijuan Walker and Cincinnati’s Connor Overton have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds

Phillies odds to win: -150
Reds odds to win: +129
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 10 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 14, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Reds?

Phillies and Reds Betting Trends

The Phillies have put together a 2-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games).

Philadelphia has gone 1-2 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -150 or shorter (33.3% winning percentage).

This season, the Reds have won two out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Cincinnati is 1-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +129 or more on the moneyline.

The Phillies have played in 13 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total six times (6-7-0).

The Reds’ games have gone over the total in seven of their 12 chances.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 24th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.1 runs per game (53 total).

Philadelphia averages 0.9 home runs per game to rank 22nd in MLB play with 12 total home runs .

The Phillies’ .280 batting average is third-best in the majors.

Philadelphia strikes out 10.2 times per game, the worst mark in MLB.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks 13th in MLB with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has a 5.38 team ERA that ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 55 (4.6 per game).

Cincinnati ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball with 12 home runs.

The Reds’ .247 batting average ranks 16th in the league this season.

Cincinnati ranks 14th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.3 Ks per contest.

The Reds have a 10.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, first-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.67 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will look to Walker (0-1) in his third start this season.

Alec Bohm is batting .327 for Philadelphia with a team-high 11 RBI.

Brandon Marsh is batting .387 with an OBP of .457 and a slugging percentage of .839 this season.

Trea Turner has 18 hits this season and a slash line of .316/.371/.421.

Kyle Schwarber is slugging .471 this season, with a team-best four homers while driving in seven runs.

Reds Key Players to Watch

Overton heads to the mound for the Reds to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.

Jonathan India has four doubles, a home run and seven walks while hitting .304.

Spencer Steer is hitting .325 with four doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Jake Fraley has put up a team-high nine runs batted in.

TJ Friedl is hitting .350 to pace his team.

Phillies and Reds Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)