Yankees vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 14, 2023

April 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (8-5) will look to Anthony Rizzo, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins (9-4) Friday at 7:05 PM ET on YES. The Yankees are -176 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

New York’s Nestor Cortes Jr. gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Louie Varland.

Yankees vs. Twins Odds

Yankees odds to win: -176
Twins odds to win: +150
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 14, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: YES

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Twins?

Yankees and Twins Betting Trends

The Yankees have put together an 8-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).

New York has played as moneyline favorites of -176 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.

This season, the Twins have been the underdog four times and won one of those games.

Minnesota has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +150.

The Yankees have played in 13 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total six times (6-7-0).

So far this season, the Twins and their opponents have hit the over in four of their 13 games with a total.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees score the ninth-most runs in baseball (63 total, 4.8 per game).

New York averages 1.5 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 20 total home runs.

The Yankees have the 20th-ranked batting average in the league (.241).

New York strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 16th in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Yankees has a collective 9.8 K/9, the fifth-best in the majors.

New York has a 3.37 team ERA that ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins have scored 58 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Minnesota ranks 15th in Major League Baseball with 14 home runs.

The Twins’ .242 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

Minnesota ranks 22nd with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Twins strike out 10.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.

Minnesota has the second-best ERA (2.46) in the majors this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Cortes (2-0) gets the starting nod for the Yankees, his third of the season.

Gleyber Torres leads New York with a batting average of .333. He’s also hit two home runs with six RBI.

Rizzo is batting .326 with an OBP of .423 and a slugging percentage of .581 this season.

Aaron Judge is slugging .574 this season, with a team-high four home runs. He’s also collected seven RBI.

Giancarlo Stanton has 11 hits and an OBP of .283 to go with a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Varland will make his first start of the season for the Twins.

Byron Buxton is batting .289 with a double, a triple, two home runs and four walks.

Trevor Larnach’s nine runs batted in pace his team.

Christian Vazquez has three doubles and five walks while hitting .379.

Donovan Solano has a club-best .342 batting average.

Yankees and Twins Injuries

Yankees: Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ben Rortvedt: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Harrison Bader: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Jonathan Loaisiga: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps), DJ LeMahieu: day-to-day (Quadricep)

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Max Kepler: 10 Day IL (Knee), Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Side), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)