Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 15, 2023

April 15, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (7-7) roll into Saturday’s matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (8-6) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 4:10 PM ET on BSFL with the Marlins listed as -133 favorites on the moneyline.

Braxton Garrett starts for Miami while Ryne Nelson is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Marlins odds to win: -133
Diamondbacks odds to win: +113
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Diamondbacks?

Marlins and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Marlins have won 50% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (2-2).

Miami has played as moneyline favorites of -133 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

This season, the Diamondbacks have been the underdog 12 times and won six, or 50%, of those games.

Arizona has entered 11 games this season as the underdog by +113 or more and is 6-5 in those contests.

In the 14 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Marlins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total six times (6-7-1).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 14 games with a total this season.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are the second-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.3 runs per game (46 total).

Miami is 17th in MLB play with 15 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Marlins rank 15th in MLB with a .248 batting average.

Miami’s 9.0 strikeouts per game rank 18th in baseball.

The Marlins pitching staff is 25th in MLB with a collective 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

Miami’s 4.79 team ERA ranks 20th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks rank 17th in the league with 62 total runs scored this season.

Arizona’s 11 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.

The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .259 this season, which ranks ninth among MLB teams.

Arizona is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking second with an average of 6.9 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 18th in MLB.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.87 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Garrett (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Marlins, his second of the season.

Luis Arraez leads Miami with a .500 batting average.

Garrett Cooper leads Miami in runs batted in (nine) this season. He’s batting .370 while slugging .630.

Jorge Soler is slugging .563 this season, with a team-high four home runs. He’s also collected eight RBI.

Jon Berti has collected 11 hits this season and has an OBP of .289. He’s slugging .349 on the year.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Nelson heads to the mound for the Diamondbacks to make his third start of the season, seeking his second win.

Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with three home runs while accumulating a team-best batting average of .275.

Josh Rojas has five doubles and three walks while hitting .395.

Geraldo Perdomo has put up a team-high eight runs batted in.

Ketel Marte is batting .212 with six doubles, a home run and two walks.

Marlins and Diamondbacks Injuries

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Luis Arraez: day-to-day (Finger), Jorge Soler: day-to-day (Back)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)