Padres vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 15, 2023

April 15, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (10-4) will lean on Rowdy Tellez, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the San Diego Padres (7-8) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET on Fox Sports 1. The Brewers are +127 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

Seth Lugo will get the ball for San Diego while Milwaukee will counter with Freddy Peralta.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds

Padres odds to win: -149
Brewers odds to win: +127
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 1

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Brewers?

Padres and Brewers Betting Trends

The Padres have gone 3-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 37.5% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -149 or shorter, San Diego has gone 2-5 (28.6%).

The Brewers have won four of the seven games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Milwaukee has won three of its four games when it’s the underdog by at least +127 on the moneyline.

The Padres have played in 15 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total seven times (7-8-0).

Games involving the Brewers have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in six of 14 chances this season.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres are the 20th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.1 runs per game (61 total).

San Diego averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank sixth in MLB action with 20 total home runs.

The Padres are 27th in MLB with a .228 batting average.

San Diego strikes out 8.5 times per game, the No. 20 mark in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.4 K/9, which ranks 20th in MLB.

San Diego has a 4.59 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 73.

Milwaukee has hit 20 homers this season, which ranks sixth in the majors.

The Brewers rank seventh in MLB with a .267 team batting average.

Milwaukee ranks 16th with an average of 8.8 strikeouts per game.

The Brewers have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Milwaukee has the third-best ERA (2.76) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Lugo (2-0) pitches for the Padres to make his third start this season.

Xander Bogaerts leads San Diego in home runs with four, runs batted in with 10 and his batting average of .333 is also best on his team.

Juan Soto has 10 hits and an OBP of .348 to go with a slugging percentage of .415 this season.

Trent Grisham is slugging .500 this season, with a team-high four home runs. He’s also collected five RBI.

Manny Machado is batting .259 with an OBP of .302 and a slugging percentage of .362 this season.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Peralta will take to the mound for the Brewers, his third start of the season.

Willy Adames has two doubles, three home runs and 11 walks while hitting .280.

Brian Anderson has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 12 RBI.

Tellez has racked up a team-best five home runs and 12 runs batted in.

Christian Yelich is hitting .241 with two doubles, two home runs and eight walks.

Padres and Brewers Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Jesse Winker: day-to-day (Illness)