Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 15, 2023

April 15, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Bryson Stott will look to extend his 14-game hitting streak when the Philadelphia Phillies (5-9) take on the Cincinnati Reds (5-8). The Phillies are listed as -113 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, live on BSOH from Great American Ball Park.

Philadelphia’s Matt Strahm gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds

Phillies odds to win: -113
Reds odds to win: -106
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Reds?

Phillies and Reds Betting Trends

The Phillies have won three of the seven games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (42.9%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -113 or shorter, Philadelphia has a record of 3-4 (42.9%).

The Reds have won two of the nine games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Cincinnati has won two of its nine games, or 22.2%, when it’s the underdog by at least -106 on the moneyline.

In the 14 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total seven times (7-7-0).

Games involving the Reds have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in eight of 13 chances this season.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have the No. 20 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (61 total runs).

Philadelphia ranks 23rd in MLB action with 13 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Phillies’ .285 batting average leads the majors.

Philadelphia strikes out 9.9 times per game, the second-worst average in MLB.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Phillies pitching staff ranks 15th in the majors.

Philadelphia has the 24th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (5.13).

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 24th-most runs in the league this season with 58 (4.5 per game).

Cincinnati’s 12 home runs rank 25th in Major League Baseball.

The Reds’ .242 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

Cincinnati ranks 14th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.2 Ks per contest.

The Reds strike out 10.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.93 ERA this year, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will send Strahm (1-0) to the mound for his third start of the season.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 13 while batting .327.

Brandon Marsh has 13 hits and an OBP of .425 to go with a slugging percentage of .806 this season.

Kyle Schwarber is slugging .500 this season, with a team-high four home runs. He’s also collected eight RBI.

Trea Turner has collected 20 hits this season and has an OBP of .373. He’s slugging .419 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will send Ashcraft to the mound for his third start of the season.

Jonathan India is hitting .300 with four doubles, a home run and seven walks.

Spencer Steer has four doubles, two home runs and seven walks while batting .326.

Jake Fraley paces the Reds with 10 runs batted in.

TJ Friedl’s .333 batting average leads his team.

Phillies and Reds Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)