Guardians vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 16, 2023

April 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (9-6) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals (4-11) when the teams meet at 1:35 PM ET Sunday. The Guardians are -229 favorites to keep the Nationals out of the win column in the series.

Shane Bieber will get the ball for Cleveland while Washington will counter with Patrick Corbin.

Guardians vs. Nationals Odds

Guardians odds to win: -229
Nationals odds to win: +190
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
Time: 1:35 PM ET
TV: MASN

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Nationals?

Guardians and Nationals Betting Trends

The Guardians are 5-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).

Cleveland has not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -229 or shorter.

The Nationals have entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won four, or 26.7%, of those games.

Washington has entered five games this season as the underdog by +190 or more and is 1-4 in those contests.

In the 15 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total eight times (8-6-1).

So far this season, the Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 15 games with a total.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians rank 18th in runs scored with 68, 4.5 per game.

Cleveland is second-worst in MLB action with eight home runs.

The Guardians’ .238 batting average ranks 19th in the majors.

Cleveland strikes out 7.4 times per game, the fifth-best mark in baseball.

The 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Guardians pitching staff ranks 25th in MLB.

Cleveland’s 3.94 team ERA ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored 55 runs (just 3.7 per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Washington has hit just six homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Nationals’ .253 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only 6.5 times per game on average.

The Nationals have a 6.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, worst in baseball.

Washington has pitched to a 4.88 ERA this season, which ranks 22nd in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Bieber (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his fourth start of the season. He has a 2.37 ERA in 19 2/3 innings pitched, with 14 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez is batting .310 for Cleveland with a team-high nine RBI.

Andres Gimenez is batting .305 with an OBP of .388 and a slugging percentage of .441 this season.

Steven Kwan is slashing .246/.368/.311 this season for the Guardians.

Myles Straw leads Cleveland with a .319 batting average.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

Corbin (1-2) will take the mound for the Nationals, his fourth start of the season.

Alex Call has put up a team-high nine runs batted in.

Keibert Ruiz has three doubles, a home run and five walks while batting .286.

Jeimer Candelario paces the Nationals with two home runs.

Victor Robles is batting .298 with two doubles and five walks.

Guardians and Nationals Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Nationals: Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Ildemaro Vargas: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)