Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 16, 2023

April 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Sunday when the Miami Marlins (8-7) and Arizona Diamondbacks (8-7) take to the field at 1:40 PM ET, live on BSFL. Luis Arraez is batting .511 for the Marlins (-136 favorites on the moneyline) while Josh Rojas leads the underdog Diamondbacks (+116) with a .390 average.

Sandy Alcantara starts for Miami while Zac Gallen is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Marlins odds to win: -136
Diamondbacks odds to win: +116
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
Time: 1:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Diamondbacks?

Marlins and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Marlins have compiled a 3-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).

Miami has played as moneyline favorites of -136 or shorter in only two games this season, which it won both.

This season, the Diamondbacks have been the underdog 13 times and won six, or 46.2%, of those games.

Arizona is 5-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +116 or more on the moneyline.

The Marlins have played in 15 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total six times (6-8-1).

So far this season, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 15 games with a total.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have the No. 30 offense in MLB action scoring 3.3 runs per game (49 total runs).

Miami is 12th in MLB play with 16 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Marlins’ .252 batting average ranks 15th in the majors.

Miami strikes out 8.7 times per game, the No. 18 average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 8.1 K/9, which ranks 24th in the majors.

Miami has a 4.60 team ERA that ranks 19th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored the 19th-most runs in the league this season with 64 (4.3 per game).

Arizona ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 11 home runs as a team.

The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .255 this season, which ranks 11th among MLB teams.

Arizona has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the third-best strikeout rate (6.9 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 20th in MLB.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.78 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins are sending Alcantara (1-1) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 11 strikeouts through 18 2/3 innings pitched.

Arraez leads Miami in batting average (.511) this season.

Garrett Cooper leads Miami in runs batted in (nine) this season. He’s batting .340 while slugging .580.

Jorge Soler’s four home runs lead all Miami hitters, and he’s slugging .563.

Jon Berti has 12 hits and an OBP of .286 to go with a slugging percentage of .340 this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

The Diamondbacks will send Gallen (1-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.

Corbin Carroll has hit a team-best three home runs.

Rojas is batting .390 to pace his team.

Geraldo Perdomo has racked up a team-high eight runs batted in.

Ketel Marte has six doubles, a home run and two walks while batting .218.

Marlins and Diamondbacks Injuries

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)