Padres vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 16, 2023

April 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) will look to Victor Caratini, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the San Diego Padres (8-8) on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET on BSSD. The Brewers are +143 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers.

San Diego’s Yu Darvish and Milwaukee’s Wade Miley have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds

Padres odds to win: -167
Brewers odds to win: +143
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Brewers?

Padres and Brewers Betting Trends

The Padres have won 44.4% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (4-5).

San Diego has gone 2-3 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -167 or shorter (40% winning percentage).

The Brewers have been underdogs in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests.

Milwaukee has played as an underdog of +143 or more once this season and won that game.

The Padres have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 16 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in eight of those games (8-8-0).

The Brewers and their opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of their 15 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 12 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (71 total runs).

San Diego averages 1.4 home runs per game to rank fifth in MLB action with 22 total home runs.

The Padres are 23rd in the majors with a .236 batting average.

San Diego strikes out 8.3 times per game, the No. 20 mark in MLB.

The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Padres pitching staff ranks 18th in MLB.

San Diego has the 15th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.49).

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have scored 76 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB.

Milwaukee ranks eighth in Major League Baseball with 20 home runs.

The Brewers’ .271 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking seventh in MLB.

Milwaukee ranks 20th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Brewers have a 7.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Milwaukee has the third-best ERA (3.14) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Darvish (0-1) pitches for the Padres to make his third start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads San Diego in batting average (.361) and home runs (four) this season, while also chipping in with 10 RBI.

Juan Soto has collected 10 hits this season and has an OBP of .375. He’s slugging .400 on the year.

Jake Cronenworth has collected 12 base hits, an OBP of .361 and a slugging percentage of .480 this season.

Trent Grisham’s four home runs are most among San Diego batters. He’s driven in five runs this season while slugging .508.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

The Brewers will send Miley to the mound for his third start of the season.

Willy Adames is hitting .273 with two doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Brian Anderson has a club-leading 13 RBI and .286 batting average.

Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers with five home runs.

Christian Yelich has two doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .242.

Padres and Brewers Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Gus Varland: day-to-day (Hand/jaw)