Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 16, 2023

April 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (6-8) will look to Wil Myers, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (5-10) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET on BSOH. The Reds are +171 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

Aaron Nola takes the mound for Philadelphia while Luis Cessa is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds

Phillies odds to win: -204
Reds odds to win: +171
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
Time: 1:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Reds?

Phillies and Reds Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 37.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (3-5).

Philadelphia has played as moneyline favorites of -204 or shorter in just one game this season, which it lost.

This season, the Reds have won three out of the 10 games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Cincinnati has a record of 1-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +171 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Phillies have had an over/under set by bookmakers 15 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in eight of those games (8-7-0).

So far this season, the Reds and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their 14 games with a total.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have the No. 24 offense in MLB action scoring 4.1 runs per game (61 total runs).

Philadelphia ranks 25th in MLB action with 13 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Phillies rank fifth in MLB with a .277 batting average.

Philadelphia’s 9.7 strikeouts per game are the second-most in MLB.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has the 28th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (5.72).

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 71 (5.1 per game).

Cincinnati has hit 14 homers this season, which ranks 23rd in the majors.

The Reds have a team batting average of .253 this season, which ranks 13th among MLB teams.

Cincinnati ranks 17th with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Reds average 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-most in the league.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.57 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will send Nola (0-2) out for his fourth start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA and 15 strikeouts through 15 1/3 innings pitched.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 13 and has a batting average of .333.

Brandon Marsh has collected 13 hits this season and has an OBP of .409. He’s slugging .744 on the year.

Kyle Schwarber is slugging .474 this season, with a team-high four home runs. He’s also collected eight RBI.

Trea Turner has collected 20 hits this season and has an OBP of .366. He’s slugging .400 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

Cessa heads to the mound for the Reds to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.

Jonathan India paces the Reds with a .327 batting average.

Spencer Steer is hitting .298 with four doubles, two home runs and eight walks.

TJ Friedl has accumulated a team-high batting average of .327.

Jake Fraley has been productive as he leads his team with 10 RBI.

Phillies and Reds Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)