Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Houston Astros (7-9), led by Mauricio Dubon on an 11-game hitting streak, will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (10-6) Monday at Minute Maid Park. The Blue Jays are -117 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 8:10 PM ET on SportsNet SW.

Kevin Gausman takes the mound for Toronto while Cristian Javier is Houston’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -117
Astros odds to win: -103
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet SW

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Astros?

Blue Jays and Astros Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have compiled a 7-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70% of those games).

Toronto has gone 6-3 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -117 or shorter.

The Astros have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Houston has played as an underdog of -103 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Blue Jays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 16 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in eight of those games (8-7-1).

So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 16 games with a total.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays are the seventh-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging five runs per game (80 total).

Toronto is 16th in MLB action with 16 total home runs.

The Blue Jays are third in the majors with a .277 batting average.

Toronto’s batters strike out 7.8 times per game, the sixth-fewest strikeouts in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitching staff is ninth in MLB with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto has a 4.63 team ERA that ranks 19th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have scored the eighth-most runs in the league this season with 77.

Houston ranks 16th in Major League Baseball with 16 home runs.

The Astros rank 14th in MLB with a .248 team batting average.

Houston ranks 13th with an average of 8.4 strikeouts per game.

The Astros have a 9.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Houston has the fifth-best ERA (3.50) in the majors this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Gausman (1-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his fourth of the season.

Matt Chapman leads Toronto in runs batted in with 15 while batting .421, which is also best on the team.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in home runs with four while driving in 11 runs and slugging .597.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 24 base hits, an OBP of .473 and a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

George Springer has 16 hits and an OBP of .315 to go with a slugging percentage of .379 this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

The Astros’ Javier (1-0) will make his fourth start of the season.

Kyle Tucker paces the Astros with four home runs.

Yordan Alvarez has hit four home runs with 20 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Alex Bregman is batting .194 with a double, two home runs and 12 walks.

Jeremy Pena is batting .227 with six doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Blue Jays and Astros Injuries

Blue Jays: Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Astros: Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine), Chas McCormick: day-to-day (Eye)