Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (12-4) will vie for their seventh straight victory when they visit the San Diego Padres (8-9) on Monday at 9:40 PM ET on MLB Network. The Braves are listed as -146 favorites by bookmakers, while the Padres are +125 underdogs.

Max Fried will get the ball for Atlanta while San Diego will counter with Ryan Weathers.

Braves vs. Padres Odds

Braves odds to win: -146
Padres odds to win: +125
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Padres?

Braves and Padres Betting Trends

The Braves have compiled a 10-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -146 or shorter, Atlanta has gone 7-2 (77.8%).

This season, the Padres have been the underdog seven times and won four of those games.

San Diego has played as an underdog of +125 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Braves have had an over/under set by bookmakers 16 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in nine of those games (9-6-1).

The Padres and their opponents have hit the over in eight of their 17 games with a total this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 3 offense in MLB play scoring 5.4 runs per game (87 total runs).

Atlanta averages 1.4 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 23 total home runs.

The Braves rank fourth in the majors with a .274 batting average.

Atlanta’s hitters strike out 9.6 times per game, the 27th-most in the majors.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Braves pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors.

Atlanta’s 3.75 team ERA ranks ninth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored 71 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 19th in MLB.

San Diego has hit 22 homers this season, which ranks sixth in the majors.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .231 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 20th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

The Padres strike out 8.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 16th in MLB.

San Diego has the 14th-ranked ERA (4.29) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Fried (0-0) takes the mound for the Braves to make his second start of the season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta in batting average (.373) this season while adding three home runs and 11 RBI.

Matt Olson is batting .313 this season with a team-high five home runs and 17 RBI.

Sean Murphy has 12 hits this season and a slash line of .279/.446/.651.

Austin Riley has 19 hits and an OBP of .417 to go with a slugging percentage of .508 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres’ Weathers will make his third start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with four home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .354.

Juan Soto is hitting .172 with three doubles, three home runs and 18 walks.

Jake Cronenworth has three doubles, three home runs and eight walks while batting .222.

Trent Grisham has shown off his power as he leads his team with four home runs.

Braves and Padres Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)