Brewers vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Seattle Mariners (8-8) roll into Monday’s matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (11-5) looking to extend a four-game winning streak. The contest starts at 9:40 PM ET on ROOT Sports NW with the Brewers listed as -149 favorites on the moneyline to stop the Mariners’ streak.

Corbin Burnes starts for Milwaukee while Chris Flexen is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Mariners Odds

Brewers odds to win: -149
Mariners odds to win: +128
Spread: Brewers -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: ROOT Sports NW

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Mariners?

Brewers and Mariners Betting Trends

The Brewers have won 85.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (6-1).

Milwaukee has played as moneyline favorites of -149 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

The Mariners have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Seattle has played as an underdog of +128 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Brewers have combined with opponents to go over the total seven times this season for a 7-9-0 record against the over/under.

The Mariners and their opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of their 16 opportunities.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers are the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.8 runs per game (77 total).

Milwaukee is ninth-best in MLB play with 20 total home runs.

The Brewers have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.263).

Milwaukee’s 9.2 strikeouts per game rank 23rd in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Brewers has a collective 7.7 K/9, the fourth-worst in the majors.

Milwaukee’s 2.94 team ERA ranks third among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have scored 74 runs (4.6 per game) this season, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Seattle ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball with 15 home runs.

The Mariners rank 25th in MLB with a .232 team batting average.

Seattle ranks 24th with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Mariners have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 20th in the majors.

Seattle has pitched to a 3.51 ERA this season, which ranks sixth in baseball.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Burnes (1-1) takes the mound for the Brewers in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.19 ERA in 17 1/3 innings pitched, with 14 strikeouts.

Willy Adames is batting .259 with three home runs and nine RBI for Milwaukee this season.

Brian Anderson leads Milwaukee in runs batted in with 14 while batting .269 with three homers.

Rowdy Tellez leads Milwaukee in home runs with five. He’s driven in 12 runs and is slugging .560.

Christian Yelich is batting .227 with an OBP of .320 and a slugging percentage of .348 this season.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Flexen will get the start for the Mariners, his third of the season.

Ty France is batting .328 with seven doubles, a home run and eight walks.

Jarred Kelenic’s four home runs and .362 batting average both lead his team.

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .239 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and five walks.

Eugenio Suarez’s 13 runs batted in pace his team.

Brewers and Mariners Injuries

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gus Varland: 15 Day IL (Hand), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Jesse Winker: day-to-day (Oblique)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Taylor Trammell: 10 Day IL (Hand), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor), Sam Haggerty: 7 Day IL (Concussion)