Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (8-8), led by Chris Taylor on a two-game home run streak, are -149 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Pete Alonso (homers in two straight contests) and the New York Mets (10-6). First pitch is at 10:10 PM ET on Monday, live from Dodger Stadium and airing on MLB Network.

Los Angeles’ Dustin May gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s David Peterson.

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -149
Mets odds to win: +126
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Mets?

Dodgers and Mets Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 8-8 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

Los Angeles has gone 7-7 (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -149 or shorter.

The Mets have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.

New York has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +126 moneyline set for this game.

The Dodgers have played in 16 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total eight times (8-7-1).

The Mets’ games have gone over the total in seven of their 16 chances.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 5 offense in MLB play scoring 5.3 runs per game (85 total runs).

Los Angeles ranks second in MLB play with 27 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Dodgers’ .233 batting average ranks 24th in the majors.

Los Angeles strikes out 9.7 times per game, the second-worst mark in MLB.

The Dodgers pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors with a collective 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Los Angeles has a 4.18 team ERA that ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have scored the 11th-most runs in the league this season with 75 (4.7 per game).

New York ranks 11th in Major League Baseball with 18 home runs.

The Mets have a team batting average of just .217 this season, which ranks 28th among MLB teams.

New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the second-best strikeout rate (7.1 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Mets strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 17th in MLB.

New York has the 11th-ranked ERA (4.02) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

May (1-1 with a 1.47 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Dodgers, his fourth of the season.

James Outman has been key for Los Angeles with 12 hits, an OBP of .404 plus a slugging percentage of .587.

Mookie Betts has collected 16 hits this season and has an OBP of .397. He’s slugging .467 on the year.

Max Muncy leads Los Angeles in home runs with six and runs batted in with 14.

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles in batting average (.317) this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets will hand the ball to Peterson (0-2) for his fourth start of the season.

Alonso has a team-best eight home runs.

Francisco Lindor has been productive as he leads his team with 16 RBI.

Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best batting average of .286.

Starling Marte has four doubles, a home run and eight walks while hitting .255.

Dodgers and Mets Injuries

Dodgers: Ryan Pepiot: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Gonsolin: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Daniel Hudson: 15 Day IL (Knee), Álex Reyes: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee), Will Smith: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Hunter: 15 Day IL (Back), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)