Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Detroit Tigers (5-9) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they host the Cleveland Guardians (9-7) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET on MLB Network. The Guardians are listed as -128 favorites to stop the streak, while the Tigers are +109 underdogs to keep their momentum.

Hunter Gaddis gets the starting nod for Cleveland while Matthew Boyd is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds

Guardians odds to win: -128
Tigers odds to win: +109
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Tigers?

Guardians and Tigers Betting Trends

The Guardians have put together a 5-4 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -128 or shorter, Cleveland has a 5-3 record (winning 62.5% of its games).

The Tigers have won five, or 35.7%, of the 14 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Detroit is 5-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +109 or more on the moneyline.

The Guardians have played in 16 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-6-1).

The Tigers’ games have gone over the total in nine of their 14 chances.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians rank 13th in runs scored with 74, 4.6 per game.

Cleveland has hit eight home runs this season, the second-lowest total in baseball.

The Guardians are 18th in the majors with a .239 batting average.

Cleveland’s batters strike out 7.3 times per game, the fourth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Guardians has a collective 7.8 K/9, the fifth-worst in MLB.

Cleveland has a 4.16 team ERA that ranks 12th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers have scored 50 runs (just 3.6 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

Detroit ranks 28th in Major League Baseball with just 10 home runs as a team.

The Tigers have a team batting average of just .208 this season, which ranks last among MLB teams.

Detroit ranks 17th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.1 Ks per contest.

The Tigers strike out just 7.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Detroit has pitched to a 5.88 ERA this season, which ranks 29th in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Gaddis (0-1) takes the mound for the Guardians in his fourth start of the season. He has an 8.53 ERA in 12 2/3 innings pitched, with 11 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez has been key for Cleveland with 18 hits, an OBP of .430 plus a slugging percentage of .468.

Steven Kwan is a key run producer for Cleveland with a .258 average and 10 RBI.

Andres Gimenez is slashing .286/.366/.413 this season for the Guardians.

Myles Straw leads Cleveland with a batting average of .333.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

The Tigers’ Boyd will make his third start of the season.

Nick Maton paces the Tigers with three home runs and nine runs batted in.

Spencer Torkelson is batting .214 with three doubles, a home run and a walk.

Kerry Carpenter is batting .212 with three doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Riley Greene is hitting .232 with two triples, a home run and five walks.

Guardians and Tigers Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Tigers: Austin Meadows: 10 Day IL (Anxiety), Matt Manning: 15 Day IL (Foot), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)