Rays vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 17, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Led by Christian Bethancourt (two-game homer streak), the Tampa Bay Rays (14-2) are favorites versus the Cincinnati Reds (6-9) Monday at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers have named the Rays as -151 favorites for the game, which airs on BSOH.

Jalen Beeks takes the mound for Tampa Bay while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Reds Odds

Rays odds to win: -151
Reds odds to win: +130
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 17, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Reds?

Rays and Reds Betting Trends

The Rays have been the moneyline favorite 15 total times this season. They’ve gone 14-1 in those games.

Tampa Bay has won all 12 games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -151 or shorter.

The Reds have won three, or 27.3%, of the 11 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Cincinnati has won one of its six games when it’s the underdog by at least +130 on the moneyline.

The Rays have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times this season for a 10-4-2 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Reds have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 15 chances this season.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays score the most runs in baseball (114 total, 7.1 per game).

The Tampa Bay Rays lead baseball with 36 total home runs, averaging 2.3 per game.

The Rays are second in MLB with a .280 batting average.

Tampa Bay strikes out 7.9 times per game to rank seventh in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Rays has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 17th in the majors.

Tampa Bay’s 2.54 team ERA ranks first across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored 74 runs (4.9 per game) this season, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Cincinnati has hit 14 homers this season, which ranks 25th in the majors.

The Reds rank 12th in MLB with a .253 team batting average.

Cincinnati ranks 15th with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.

The Reds have a 9.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fifth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati has the 25th-ranked ERA (5.22) in the majors this season.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Beeks (0-0) pitches for the Rays to make his second start this season.

Wander Franco leads Tampa Bay with a .318 batting average. He’s also hit four homers and has 13 RBI.

Brandon Lowe leads Tampa Bay in home runs with five while driving in 12 runs and slugging .690.

Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in runs batted in (17) this season. He has a .293 batting average and a .500 slugging percentage.

Yandy Diaz has 13 hits and an OBP of .381 to go with a slugging percentage of .529 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will hand the ball to Greene (0-0) for his fourth start of the season.

Jonathan India has racked up a team-high batting average of .333.

Spencer Steer is batting .320 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

TJ Friedl has three doubles, a triple, two home runs and five walks while batting .302.

Wil Myers is hitting .259 with two doubles, two home runs and seven walks.

Rays and Reds Injuries

Rays: Jose Siri: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Eflin: 15 Day IL (Back), Ryan Thompson: 15 Day IL (Lat), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jeffrey Springs: day-to-day (Arm)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Spencer Steer: day-to-day (Knee)