Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 18, 2023

April 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Donovan Solano (11 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Minnesota Twins (10-6) and Boston Red Sox (8-9) meet Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live on MLB Network from Fenway Park. Solano and the Twins are favored by oddsmakers with -111 odds on the moneyline.

Sonny Gray will get the ball for Minnesota while Boston will counter with Chris Sale.

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds

Twins odds to win: -111
Red Sox odds to win: -109
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 18, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Red Sox?

Twins and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Twins are 8-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 88.9% of those games).

Minnesota has an 8-1 record (winning 88.9% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

The Red Sox have been underdogs in seven games this season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.

Boston has a record of 2-5 when it’s set as an underdog of -109 or more by sportsbooks this season.

In the 16 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total four times (4-10-2).

The Red Sox’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 17 chances.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins have the No. 25 offense in MLB action scoring 3.9 runs per game (63 total runs).

Minnesota is 21st in baseball with 16 total home runs.

The Twins have the fifth-worst batting average in the majors (.228).

Minnesota’s 9.6 strikeouts per game rank 23rd in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 10.5 K/9, the first-best in MLB.

Minnesota has the first-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (2.60).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking third with 91 total runs this season.

Boston’s 21 home runs rank eighth in Major League Baseball.

The Red Sox have a team batting average of .239 this season, which ranks 19th among MLB teams.

Boston ranks 11th with an average of eight strikeouts per game.

The Red Sox average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-most in the league.

Boston has the 24th-ranked ERA (5.07) in the majors this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Gray gets the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a .53 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings pitched.

Trevor Larnach leads Minnesota in runs batted in with nine and has a batting average of .246.

Solano leads Minnesota in batting with a .340 average.

Carlos Correa is slashing .208/.269/.396 this season for the Twins.

Christian Vazquez has collected 12 hits this season and has an OBP of .415. He’s slugging .417 on the year.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Sale (1-1) for his fourth start of the season.

Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (16).

Alex Verdugo has a club-best .328 batting average.

Justin Turner is hitting .267 with four doubles, a home run and nine walks.

Masataka Yoshida is batting .186 with a double, a home run and eight walks.

Twins and Red Sox Injuries

Twins: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Side), Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Chris Martin: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)