Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 18, 2023
The Atlanta Braves (13-4) visit the San Diego Padres (8-10) at 9:40 PM ET Tuesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .389 this year (third in the league) for the favored Braves (-137), while Xander Bogaerts ranks 10th in the majors with a .362 average for the underdog Padres.
Spencer Strider gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Blake Snell is San Diego’s starter for the contest.
Braves vs. Padres Odds
- Braves odds to win: -137
- Padres odds to win: +118
- Spread: Braves -1.5
- Total: 7.5 runs
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Tuesday, April 18, 2023
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- TV: BSSD
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Who Will Win Braves vs. Padres?
Braves and Padres Betting Trends
The Braves have won 73.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (11-4).
Atlanta has a 9-2 record (winning 81.8% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -137 or shorter.
This season, the Padres have been the underdog eight times and won four of those games.
This season, San Diego has won two of its four games when it’s the underdog by at least +118 on the moneyline.
The Braves have played in 17 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-7-1).
So far this season, the Padres and their opponents have hit the over in eight of their 18 games with a total.
Braves Stats & Insights
The Braves have the No. 5 offense in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game (89 total runs).
Atlanta averages 1.4 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 24 total home runs.
The Braves’ .271 batting average is fourth-best in MLB.
Atlanta strikes out 9.5 times per game, the fourth-worst mark in MLB.
The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Braves pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors.
Atlanta has the seventh-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.53).
Padres Stats & Insights
The Padres have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 71 (3.9 per game).
San Diego ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 22 home runs.
The Padres have a team batting average of just .228 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.
San Diego ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (8.5) among MLB offenses.
The Padres have an 8.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 14th in the majors.
San Diego has the 12th-ranked ERA (4.16) in the majors this season.
Braves Key Players to Watch
Strider gets the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched.
Acuna leads Atlanta with a .389 batting average. He’s also hit three homers and has 11 RBI.
Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (five) and runs batted in (17) this season while batting .299.
Austin Riley is slashing .317/.408/.540 this season for the Braves.
Sean Murphy has 12 hits and an OBP of .417 to go with a slugging percentage of .596 this season.
Padres Key Players to Watch
Snell (0-2) will take the mound for the Padres, his fourth start of the season.
Bogaerts paces the Padres with four home runs and has put up a team-best batting average of .362.
Juan Soto has three doubles, three home runs and 19 walks while hitting .164.
Jake Cronenworth has three doubles, three home runs and eight walks while hitting .207.
Trent Grisham has hit four home runs to lead his team.
Braves and Padres Injuries
Braves: Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)
Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)
Braves vs. Padres Prediction
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