Rays vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 18, 2023

April 18, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays will take the field against the Cincinnati Reds (7-9) on Tuesday. The game begins at 6:40 PM ET on BSOH, with the Rays listed as -128 favorites on the moneyline.

Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley and Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo have been named the starters for this contest.

Rays vs. Reds Odds

Rays odds to win: -128
Reds odds to win: +109
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 18, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Reds?

Rays and Reds Betting Trends

The Rays have put together a 14-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 87.5% of those games).

Tampa Bay has gone 14-1 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -128 or shorter (93.3% winning percentage).

The Reds have won four, or 33.3%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Cincinnati has a record of 2-8, a 20% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +109 or more by bookmakers this season.

The Rays have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 10 times this season for a 10-5-2 record against the over/under.

The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of their 16 opportunities.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays have the No. 1 offense in baseball scoring 6.8 runs per game (115 total runs).

The Tampa Bay Rays average 2.2 home runs per game and have hit an MLB-best 37 home runs in total.

The Rays have the third-best batting average in the league (.277).

Tampa Bay strikes out 7.7 times per game to rank sixth in baseball.

The Rays pitching staff ranks 14th in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay has the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (2.88).

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 11th-most runs in the league this season with 82 (5.1 per game).

Cincinnati has hit 15 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.

The Reds rank 12th in MLB with a .251 team batting average.

Cincinnati ranks 19th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.2 Ks per contest.

The Reds have a 9.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.95 ERA this year, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Bradley (1-0) gets the start for the Rays, his second of the season.

Wander Franco is batting .300 with four home runs and 13 RBI for Tampa Bay this season.

Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in runs batted in with 17 while batting .306 with three homers.

Brandon Lowe is slugging .630 this season, with a team-high five home runs. He’s also collected 12 RBI.

Josh Lowe is batting .372 with an OBP of .413 and a slugging percentage of .767 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds’ Lodolo (2-0) will make his fourth start of the season.

Jonathan India is hitting .316 with six doubles, a home run and nine walks.

Spencer Steer’s .320 batting average paces his team.

TJ Friedl is batting .304 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs and six walks.

Jake Fraley has been productive as he leads his team with 10 runs batted in.

Rays and Reds Injuries

Rays: Jose Siri: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Eflin: 15 Day IL (Back), Jeffrey Springs: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Thompson: 15 Day IL (Lat), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Hunter Greene: day-to-day (Shin), Spencer Steer: day-to-day (Knee)