Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

April 19, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (11-7), led by the red-hot Matt Chapman and his two-game homer streak, are -111 favorites to pick up a win over the Houston Astros (8-10) Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET, live from Minute Maid Park and broadcast on SportsNet SW.

Toronto’s Jose Berrios gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Luis Garcia.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -111
Astros odds to win: -108
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 19, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet SW

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Astros?

Blue Jays and Astros Betting Trends

The Blue Jays are 7-4 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 63.6% of those games).

Toronto has gone 7-4 (winning 63.6% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

The Astros have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Houston has a record of 1-2 when it’s set as an underdog of -108 or more by bookmakers this season.

The Blue Jays have played in 18 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-8-1).

Games involving the Astros have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 12 of 18 chances this season.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have the No. 13 offense in MLB action scoring 4.8 runs per game (86 total runs).

Toronto averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 13th in MLB action with 20 total home runs .

The Blue Jays have the fifth-best batting average in the majors (.269).

Toronto’s hitters strike out 7.9 times per game, the sixth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Blue Jays has a collective 9.5 K/9, the seventh-best in MLB.

Toronto has a 4.70 team ERA that ranks 20th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have scored 88 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB.

Houston ranks 18th in Major League Baseball with 18 home runs.

The Astros’ .249 batting average ranks 14th in the league this season.

Houston ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.6 Ks per contest.

The Astros average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-most in the league.

Houston has the seventh-best ERA (3.44) in the majors this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Berrios (1-2 with a 7.98 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his fourth of the season.

Chapman leads Toronto in home runs with five, runs batted in with 17 and his batting average of .415 is also best on his team.

Bo Bichette has 29 hits and an OBP of .402 to go with a slugging percentage of .577 this season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 25 hits this season and a slash line of .357/.439/.500.

George Springer is batting .219 with an OBP of .288 and a slugging percentage of .342 this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

The Astros will send Garcia (0-2) to the mound for his fourth start this season.

Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with four home runs.

Yordan Alvarez has shown his power as he leads his team with four home runs and 21 runs batted in.

Alex Bregman is batting .214 with two doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.

Jeremy Pena is batting .205 with six doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Blue Jays and Astros Injuries

Blue Jays: Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Astros: Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine), Chas McCormick: day-to-day (Eye)