Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

April 19, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (8-11) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they host the Atlanta Braves (14-4) Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET on BSSD. The Braves are listed as -119 favorites, while the Padres are +100 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid.

Atlanta’s Charlie Morton gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Nick Martinez.

Braves vs. Padres Odds

Braves odds to win: -119
Padres odds to win: +100
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 19, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Padres?

Braves and Padres Betting Trends

The Braves have gone 12-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games).

Atlanta has gone 12-3 (winning 80% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -119 or shorter.

This season, the Padres have been the underdog nine times and won four of those games.

This season, San Diego has won three of its seven games when it’s the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.

The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 18 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 10 of those games (10-7-1).

The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 19 opportunities.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves are the third-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.4 runs per game (97 total).

Atlanta averages 1.5 home runs per game to rank third in MLB action with 27 total home runs.

The Braves rank fourth in MLB with a .269 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 9.3 times per game to rank 24th in MLB.

The 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Braves pitching staff ranks 11th in the majors.

Atlanta’s 3.39 team ERA ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 23rd in the majors with 72 total runs scored this season.

San Diego’s 22 home runs rank eighth in Major League Baseball.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .224 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (8.7) among MLB offenses.

The Padres average the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.7) in the league this season.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.36 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Morton makes the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 12 strikeouts through 16 1/3 innings pitched.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .368. He’s also hit three home runs with 11 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (six) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .296.

Sean Murphy has 14 hits this season and a slash line of .275/.431/.647.

Austin Riley has collected 20 hits this season and has an OBP of .383. He’s slugging .500 on the year.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Martinez (0-1) will take the mound for the Padres, his fourth start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts has racked up a team-best batting average of .347, and leads the Padres in home runs (four).

Juan Soto is batting .175 with three doubles, three home runs and 21 walks.

Jake Cronenworth has four doubles, three home runs and eight walks while batting .210.

Trent Grisham has put his power on display as he leads his team with four home runs.

Braves and Padres Injuries

Braves: Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)