Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

April 19, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (10-7) hope to complete a two-game sweep of the Washington Nationals (5-12) when the teams meet at 7:05 PM ET Wednesday. The Orioles are -145 favorites to keep the Nationals out of the win column in the series.

Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s MacKenzie Gore.

Orioles vs. Nationals Odds

Orioles odds to win: -145
Nationals odds to win: +123
Spread: Orioles -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 19, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: MASN

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Who Will Win Orioles vs. Nationals?

Orioles and Nationals Betting Trends

The Orioles are 5-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -145 or shorter, Baltimore has gone 4-1 (80%).

The Nationals have won five, or 29.4%, of the 17 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Washington has a record of 4-10 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +123 on the moneyline.

The Orioles have played in 17 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-5-1).

The Nationals and their opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of their 17 opportunities.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles score the sixth-most runs in baseball (95 total, 5.6 per game).

Baltimore averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank ninth in MLB play with 22 total home runs.

The Orioles’ .255 batting average is 10th-best in the majors.

Baltimore strikes out nine times per game to rank 12th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Orioles has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 19th in the majors.

Baltimore’s 4.97 team ERA ranks 22nd among all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 62 (3.6 per game).

Washington has hit just eight homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Nationals rank 10th in MLB with a .255 team batting average.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only 6.5 times per game on average.

The Nationals average just 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, worst in the league.

Washington has pitched to a 4.59 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Bradish (0-0) pitches for the Orioles to make his second start of the season.

Adley Rutschman is batting .323 with four home runs and 13 RBI for Baltimore this season.

Jorge Mateo leads Baltimore in batting with a .370 average while slugging three homers and driving in 12 runs.

Cedric Mullins has 16 hits this season and a slash line of .250/.368/.406.

Ryan Mountcastle is batting .219 this season with a team-high six home runs and 20 RBI.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals will hand the ball to Gore (2-0) for his fourth start of the season.

Jeimer Candelario leads the Nationals in home runs (three) and runs batted in (nine).

Alex Call has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with nine RBI.

Luis Garcia has a double, two home runs and two walks while hitting .256.

Keibert Ruiz is hitting .246 with three doubles, a home run and five walks.

Orioles and Nationals Injuries

Orioles: Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Nationals: Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Ildemaro Vargas: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)