Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 19, 2023

April 19, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (10-7) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Boston Red Sox (9-9) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:10 PM ET on MLB Network with the Twins listed as -138 favorites to right the ship.

Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Boston will counter with Corey Kluber.

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds

Twins odds to win: -138
Red Sox odds to win: +118
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 19, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Red Sox?

Twins and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Twins have won 80% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (8-2).

Minnesota has won all five games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -138 or shorter.

This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog eight times and won three of those games.

Boston has been at least a +118 moneyline underdog three times this season, but was upset in all of those games.

The Twins have played in 17 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total five times (5-10-2).

The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of their 18 opportunities.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins are the 25th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 3.9 runs per game (67 total).

Minnesota is 21st in baseball with 17 home runs. They average one per game.

The Twins are 27th in MLB with a .222 batting average.

Minnesota strikes out 9.9 times per game to rank 23rd in MLB.

The 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks first in MLB.

Minnesota has the second-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (2.62).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored 96 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.

Boston has hit 21 homers this season, which ranks 11th in the majors.

The Red Sox’s .241 batting average ranks 17th in the league this season.

Boston is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking ninth with an average of 8.3 strikeouts per game.

The Red Sox strike out 9.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-best in MLB.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.92 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Ryan gets the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 26 strikeouts through 19 2/3 innings pitched.

Carlos Correa has been key for Minnesota with two home runs, seven RBI and a batting average of .220 this season.

Trevor Larnach is a key run producer for Minnesota with a .237 average and nine RBI.

Joey Gallo is slugging .778 this season, with a team-high three home runs. He’s also collected seven RBI.

Byron Buxton has 13 hits and an OBP of .292 to go with a slugging percentage of .379 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Kluber (0-3) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his fourth start of the season.

Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (17).

Alex Verdugo has a club-leading .348 batting average.

Justin Turner has four doubles, a home run and nine walks while hitting .277.

Masataka Yoshida has a double, a home run and eight walks while batting .167.

Twins and Red Sox Injuries

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Chris Martin: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Christian Arroyo: day-to-day (Hamstring)