Mets vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 20, 2023

April 20, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

After a five-hit game in a win over the Dodgers, Brandon Nimmo leads the New York Mets (12-7) as -122 favorites against the San Francisco Giants (6-11). Action gets underway from Oracle Park at 9:45 PM ET on Thursday, live on NBCS-BA+.

New York’s Kodai Senga and San Francisco’s Sean Manaea have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Giants Odds

Mets odds to win: -122
Giants odds to win: +103
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, April 20, 2023
Time: 9:45 PM ET
TV: NBCS-BA+

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Giants?

Mets and Giants Betting Trends

The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 14 total times this season. They’ve finished 10-4 in those games.

New York has an 8-3 record (winning 72.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -122 or shorter.

The Giants have won five, or 41.7%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

San Francisco has entered nine games this season as the underdog by +103 or more and is 4-5 in those contests.

The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total eight times this season for an 8-11-0 record against the over/under.

The Giants and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their 17 games with a total this season.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 12 offense in MLB play scoring 4.6 runs per game (88 total runs).

New York averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 15th in MLB action with 20 total home runs .

The Mets have the 24th-ranked batting average in the majors (.227).

New York’s batters strike out 6.9 times per game, the second-fewest strikeouts in baseball.

The Mets pitching staff is 17th in MLB with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 4.15 team ERA that ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 79 (4.6 per game).

San Francisco ranks third in Major League Baseball with 28 home runs.

The Giants have a team batting average of .240 this season, which ranks 19th among MLB teams.

San Francisco is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking last with an average of 11.1 strikeouts per game.

The Giants strike out 9.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-best in MLB.

San Francisco pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.43 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Senga (2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his fourth of the season.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs this season with eight while driving in 15 runs.

Nimmo is batting .349 to lead New York this season.

Francisco Lindor leads New York in runs batted in (17) this season. He has a .232 batting average and a .507 slugging percentage.

Starling Marte is batting .222 with an OBP of .329 and a slugging percentage of .333 this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Manaea to the mound for his third start of the season.

Thairo Estrada is hitting .323 with four doubles, three home runs and four walks.

J.D. Davis’ four home runs, 13 runs batted in and .333 batting average all lead his team.

Mike Yastrzemski has hit a team-best four home runs.

Michael Conforto’s four home runs are a team-high mark.

Mets and Giants Injuries

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Starling Marte: day-to-day (Neck stiffness)

Giants: Joc Pederson: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Mitch Haniger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Michael Conforto: day-to-day (Calf)