Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 20, 2023

April 20, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox (9-10) host the Minnesota Twins (11-7) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Red Sox are favored (-123) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:35 PM ET from Fenway Park.

Tanner Houck will get the ball for Boston while Minnesota will counter with Kenta Maeda.

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -123
Twins odds to win: +104
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, April 20, 2023
Time: 1:35 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Twins?

Red Sox and Twins Betting Trends

The Red Sox have won 60% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (6-4).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter, Boston has gone 5-4 (55.6%).

The Twins have been underdogs in seven games this season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.

Minnesota is 2-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +104 or more on the moneyline.

The Red Sox have played in 19 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-6-0).

Games involving the Twins have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in six of 18 chances this season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox score the third-most runs in baseball (100 total, 5.3 per game).

Boston is 11th in baseball with 22 total home runs.

The Red Sox rank 18th in MLB with a .240 batting average.

Boston’s 8.2 strikeouts per game rank 12th in MLB.

The 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Red Sox pitching staff ranks sixth in MLB.

Boston has the 24th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (5.20).

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 23rd in the majors with 77 total runs scored this season.

Minnesota’s 20 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

The Twins have a team batting average of just .223 this season, which ranks 27th among MLB teams.

Minnesota ranks 24th in strikeouts per game (9.7) among MLB offenses.

The Twins have a 10.4 K/9 this season as a staff, which is best in baseball.

Minnesota pitchers have a combined ERA of 2.70 ERA this year, second-best in baseball.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Houck makes the start for the Red Sox, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.

Rafael Devers is batting .270 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 17 RBI.

Alex Verdugo’s batting average of .329 leads all Boston hitters this season.

Justin Turner is slashing .261/.366/.362 this season for the Red Sox.

Kike Hernandez has 13 hits and an OBP of .293 to go with a slugging percentage of .385 this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins’ Maeda will make his third start of the season.

Trevor Larnach leads the Twins with 13 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .242.

Joey Gallo has put his power on display as he paces his team with four home runs.

Byron Buxton is batting .226 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and seven walks.

Carlos Correa is batting .200 with three doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Red Sox and Twins Injuries

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Chris Martin: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Christian Arroyo: day-to-day (Hamstring)

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)