Brewers vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 21, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (14-5) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they host the Boston Red Sox (10-10) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET on BSWI. The Brewers are listed as -167 favorites by sportsbooks, while the Red Sox are +143 underdogs.

Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Nick Pivetta.

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds

• Brewers odds to win: -167
• Red Sox odds to win: +143
• Spread: Brewers -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, April 21, 2023
• Time: 8:10 PM ET
• TV: BSWI

Who Will Win Brewers vs. Red Sox?

Brewers and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Brewers have been favored on the moneyline eight total times this season. They’ve finished 7-1 in those games.

Milwaukee has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -167 or shorter.

This season, the Red Sox have won three out of the nine games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Boston has played as an underdog of +143 or more twice this season and lost both games.

The Brewers have played in 19 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-10-0).

So far this season, the Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 14 of their 20 games with a total.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have the No. 11 offense in baseball scoring five runs per game (95 total runs).

Milwaukee averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank ninth in MLB action with 23 total home runs.

The Brewers’ .257 batting average is eighth-best in MLB.

Milwaukee strikes out 9.5 times per game, the No. 23 average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Brewers has a collective 7.6 K/9, the fourth-worst in MLB.

Milwaukee has the second-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (2.96).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored the third-most runs in the league this season with 111.

Boston ranks eighth in Major League Baseball with 24 home runs.

The Red Sox have a team batting average of .248 this season, which ranks 17th among MLB teams.

Boston ranks 13th in strikeouts per game (eight) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox strike out 9.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-best in MLB.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.19 ERA this year, which ranks 24th in MLB.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his fourth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 19 strikeouts through 17 2/3 innings pitched.

Willy Adames is batting .254 with four home runs and 12 RBI for Milwaukee this season.

Rowdy Tellez is slugging .508 this season, with a team-best five homers while driving in 14 runs.

Brian Anderson is among the top hitters for Milwaukee with a .273 average, three homers and 15 RBI.

Christian Yelich has collected 18 hits this season and has an OBP of .322. He’s slugging .377 on the year.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Pivetta (0-1) for his fourth start of the season.

Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (18).

Alex Verdugo is batting .338 to lead his team.

Kike Hernandez is hitting .229 with three doubles, three home runs and eight walks.

Justin Turner is batting .257 with four doubles, a home run and nine walks.

Brewers and Red Sox Injuries

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Mitchell: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gus Varland: 15 Day IL (Hand), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Corbin Burnes: day-to-day (Pectoral)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Chris Martin: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Brewers vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Red Sox 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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