Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 21, 2023

April 21, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres will take the field against the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) on Friday. The game begins at 9:40 PM ET on MLB Network, with the Padres listed as -112 favorites on the moneyline.

San Diego’s Seth Lugo and Arizona’s Zac Gallen have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Padres odds to win: -112
Diamondbacks odds to win: -107
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Diamondbacks?

Padres and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Padres have won 45.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (5-6).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -112 or shorter, San Diego has a record of 5-6 (45.5%).

This season, the Diamondbacks have been the underdog 18 times and won nine, or 50%, of those games.

Arizona has a record of 9-9 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -107 on the moneyline.

The Padres have played in 21 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-11-0).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 20 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres are the 23rd-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.8 runs per game (80 total).

San Diego averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank seventh in MLB play with 25 total home runs.

The Padres’ .222 batting average ranks 28th in MLB.

San Diego strikes out 8.7 times per game to rank 25th in MLB.

The Padres pitching staff ranks 17th in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego’s 4.18 team ERA ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored 93 runs (4.7 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.

Arizona ranks 24th in Major League Baseball with 17 home runs.

The Diamondbacks rank seventh in MLB with a .262 team batting average.

Arizona is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking sixth with an average of 7.5 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.

Arizona has the 22nd-ranked ERA (5.07) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Lugo makes the start for the Padres, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 17 strikeouts through 16 2/3 innings pitched.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .350 with five home runs and 12 RBI. All three of those stats are tops among San Diego hitters this season.

Juan Soto has 13 hits and an OBP of .376 to go with a slugging percentage of .394 this season.

Trent Grisham has 17 hits this season and a slash line of .233/.333/.493.

Jake Cronenworth has 15 hits and an OBP of .325 to go with a slugging percentage of .441 this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Gallen (2-1) for his fifth start of the season.

Corbin Carroll has launched a team-best four homers.

Ketel Marte has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks while batting .261.

Josh Rojas has accumulated a team-best batting average of .333.

Geraldo Perdomo is hitting .389 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and five walks.

Padres and Diamondbacks Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat), Jose Herrera: day-to-day (Head)