Pirates vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Friday, April 21, 2023

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Pirates vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 21, 2023

MLB Predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (7-12) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-7) Friday at 6:35 PM ET on SportsNet PT. The Pirates are listed as -147 favorites, while the Reds are +126 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid.

Mitch Keller will get the ball for Pittsburgh while Cincinnati will counter with Graham Ashcraft.

Pirates vs. Reds Odds

  • Pirates odds to win: -147
  • Reds odds to win: +126
  • Spread: Pirates -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Pirates vs. Reds Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, April 21, 2023
  • Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT

Who Will Win Pirates vs. Reds?

Pirates and Reds Betting Trends

The Pirates have not yet lost a game they were the moneyline favorite this season, going 3-0.

Pittsburgh has played as moneyline favorites of -147 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

This season, the Reds have won four out of the 15 games, or 26.7%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Cincinnati has a record of 2-8, a 20% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +126 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Pirates have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total nine times this season for a 9-10-1 record against the over/under.

So far this season, the Reds and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 19 games with a total.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates are the fifth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.2 runs per game (103 total).

Pittsburgh is fourth in baseball with 27 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

The Pirates’ .253 batting average is ninth-best in the majors.

Pittsburgh strikes out 8 times per game, the No. 11 average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Pirates has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 19th in the majors.

Pittsburgh has a 4.04 team ERA that ranks 12th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds rank 18th in the majors with 85 total runs scored this season.

Cincinnati has hit just 15 homers this season, which ranks 26th in the majors.

The Reds’ .241 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

Cincinnati ranks 24th with an average of 9.6 strikeouts per game.

The Reds average 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-most in the league.

Cincinnati has the 26th-ranked ERA (5.36) in the majors this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

Keller gets the start for the Pirates, his fifth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.80 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings pitched.

Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in batting average (.291), home runs (five) and runs batted in (17) this season.

Andrew McCutchen has 18 hits and an OBP of .395 to go with a slugging percentage of .548 this season.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has collected 17 base hits, an OBP of .286 and a slugging percentage of .355 this season.

Connor Joe has collected 17 hits this season and has an OBP of .421. He’s slugging .640 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will hand the ball to Ashcraft (2-0) for his fourth start of the season.

Jonathan India has a team-best batting average of .318.

Spencer Steer is batting .302 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

TJ Friedl is hitting .303 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs and seven walks.

Jake Fraley has been productive as he leads his team with 10 runs batted in.

Pirates and Reds Injuries

Pirates: Ji-Man Choi: 10 Day IL (Achilles), Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chase De Jong: 15 Day IL (Knee), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Hunter Greene: day-to-day (Shin)

Pirates vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.