Twins vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 21, 2023

April 21, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (11-8) are favorites (-229) on the moneyline when they take on the Washington Nationals (5-13) Friday at 8:10 PM ET, live on WFTC29.

Tyler Mahle gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Trevor Williams is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Nationals Odds

Twins odds to win: -229
Nationals odds to win: +190
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: WFTC29

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Nationals?

Twins and Nationals Betting Trends

The Twins have been the moneyline favorite 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 9-2 in those games.

Minnesota has ynot played as moneyline favorites of -229 or shorter.

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 18 times and won five, or 27.8%, of those games.

This season, Washington has won one of its five games when it’s the underdog by at least +190 on the moneyline.

In the 19 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total seven times (7-10-2).

Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in eight of 18 chances this season.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 22nd in runs scored with 82, 4.3 per game.

Minnesota ranks 14th in MLB play with 21 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Twins rank 26th in MLB with a .226 batting average.

Minnesota’s batters strike out 9.7 times per game, the 26th-most in MLB.

The Twins pitching staff is second in MLB with a collective 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

Minnesota has a 3.16 team ERA that ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 62 (3.4 per game).

Washington’s eight home runs rank last in MLB this season.

The Nationals’ .251 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking 10th in MLB.

Washington is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 121 as a team.

The Nationals strike out just 6.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, worst in MLB.

Washington has pitched to a 4.50 ERA this season, which ranks 17th in baseball.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Mahle (1-2 with a 4.11 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season.

Trevor Larnach leads Minnesota in batting average (.242) and runs batted in (13) this season.

Joey Gallo is slugging .731 this season, with a team-best four homers while driving in 10 runs.

Jose Miranda is slashing .213/.272/.240 this season for the Twins.

Carlos Correa is batting .207 with an OBP of .277 and a slugging percentage of .362 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals’ Williams (1-1) will make his fourth start of the season.

Jeimer Candelario leads the Nationals in home runs (three) and runs batted in (nine).

Alex Call’s nine runs batted in are a team-high mark.

Keibert Ruiz is batting .279 with three doubles, a home run and five walks.

Luis Garcia is hitting .234 with a double, two home runs and two walks.

Twins and Nationals Injuries

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kenta Maeda: day-to-day (Ankle)

Nationals: Ildemaro Vargas: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)