Braves vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 22, 2023

April 22, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Houston Astros (10-10) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-109) in Saturday’s contest versus the Atlanta Braves (14-6). Game time is set for 7:20 PM ET on BSSO. The Astros are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +150 odds.

Atlanta’s Kyle Wright gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Framber Valdez.

Braves vs. Astros Odds

Braves odds to win: -110
Astros odds to win: -109
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: BSSO

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Astros?

Braves and Astros Betting Trends

The Braves have been favored on the moneyline 18 total times this season. They’ve finished 12-6 in those games.

Atlanta has a 12-6 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -110 or shorter.

This season, the Astros have won three out of the five games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Houston is 3-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -109 or more on the moneyline.

In the 20 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-8-1).

So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 20 games with a total.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 10 offense in MLB play scoring 5.1 runs per game (101 total runs).

Atlanta ranks fifth in MLB action with 27 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

The Braves have the sixth-best batting average in the league (.261).

Atlanta’s 9.5 strikeouts per game rank 22nd in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.1 K/9, which ranks 11th in MLB.

Atlanta’s 3.37 team ERA ranks seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have scored 102 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.

Houston ranks 18th in Major League Baseball with 20 home runs.

The Astros have a team batting average of .253 this season, which ranks ninth among MLB teams.

Houston is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking 10th with an average of 8.4 strikeouts per game.

The Astros strike out 9.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

Houston has pitched to a 3.35 ERA this season, which ranks sixth in baseball.

Braves Key Players to Watch

The Braves will send Wright (0-0) to make his third start of the season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta in batting average (.369) this season while adding three home runs and 11 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with six and runs batted in with 20.

Sean Murphy has collected 14 base hits, an OBP of .425 and a slugging percentage of .589 this season.

Austin Riley is batting .293 with an OBP of .382 and a slugging percentage of .493 this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

The Astros will send Valdez (1-2) to the mound for his fifth start this season.

Kyle Tucker has three doubles, four home runs and 16 walks while batting .294.

Yordan Alvarez’s five home runs and 23 RBI are both team-highs.

Alex Bregman is batting .231 with three doubles, two home runs and 14 walks.

Mauricio Dubon’s .343 batting average leads his team.

Braves and Astros Injuries

Braves: Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Astros: Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine), Chas McCormick: day-to-day (Eye)