Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

The Miami Marlins (12-9) seek to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into the finale versus the Cleveland Guardians (10-11) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday from Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored (-123) by sportsbooks to prevent the sweep and pick up their first win of the series.

Logan Allen takes the mound for Cleveland while Jesus Luzardo is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Marlins Odds

• Guardians odds to win: -123
• Marlins odds to win: +103
• Spread: Guardians -1.5
• Total: 7.5 runs

Guardians vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023
• Time: 1:40 PM ET
• TV: BSGL

Who Will Win Guardians vs. Marlins?

Guardians and Marlins Betting Trends

The Guardians have won 46.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-7).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter, Cleveland has a 6-6 record (winning 50% of its games).

The Marlins have entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won six, or 54.5%, of those games.

Miami has a record of 4-4 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +103 on the moneyline.

In the 20 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-10-1).

Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in six of 20 chances this season.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians rank 24th in runs scored with 83, 4.0 per game.

Cleveland has hit the second-fewest home runs in baseball this season (10).

The Guardians are 24th in MLB with a .227 batting average.

Cleveland strikes out 7.4 times per game to rank second in the majors.

The Guardians pitching staff is 28th in MLB with a collective 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cleveland has a 3.97 team ERA that ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored the 29th-most runs in the league this season with just 68 (3.2 per game).

Miami’s 19 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins have a team batting average of .251 this season, which ranks 13th among MLB teams.

Miami ranks 13th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

The Marlins strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.00 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Allen will start for the Guardians, his first of the season.

Jose Ramirez is batting .256 this season with a team-high two home runs and 12 RBI.

Steven Kwan has 20 hits and an OBP of .364 to go with a slugging percentage of .296 this season.

Andres Gimenez has collected 20 base hits, an OBP of .341 and a slugging percentage of .359 this season.

Myles Straw leads Cleveland with a .275 batting average.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Luzardo (2-0) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his fifth start of the season.

Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .444.

Jorge Soler’s five home runs lead his team.

Bryan De La Cruz is batting .328 with five doubles, two home runs and five walks.

Garrett Cooper’s 11 runs batted in are a team-high mark.

Guardians and Marlins Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Marlins 4

Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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