Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

April 23, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres will take the field against the Arizona Diamondbacks (12-10) on Sunday. The game begins at 4:10 PM ET on BSAZ, with the Padres listed as -147 favorites on the moneyline.

San Diego’s Yu Darvish and Arizona’s Drey Jameson have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Padres odds to win: -147
Diamondbacks odds to win: +126
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSAZ

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Diamondbacks?

Padres and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Padres have won 46.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-7).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -147 or shorter, San Diego has gone 3-6 (33.3%).

This season, the Diamondbacks have been the underdog 20 times and won 10, or 50%, of those games.

Arizona is 6-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +126 or more on the moneyline.

The Padres have played in 23 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-12-1).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 22 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 23rd in runs scored with 85, 3.7 per game.

San Diego averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank ninth in MLB action with 26 total home runs.

The Padres rank 28th in MLB with a .215 batting average.

San Diego’s 9.0 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in the majors.

The Padres pitching staff is 20th in the majors with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego has a 4.36 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored 105 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

Arizona ranks 25th in Major League Baseball with 18 home runs.

The Diamondbacks rank fourth in MLB with a .265 team batting average.

Arizona has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fourth-best strikeout rate (7.5 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 18th in MLB.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.83 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Darvish gets the start for the Padres, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings pitched.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .341 with five home runs and 12 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among San Diego hitters this season.

Juan Soto has 15 hits and an OBP of .370 to go with a slugging percentage of .385 this season.

Jake Cronenworth has 16 hits this season and a slash line of .213/.310/.413.

Trent Grisham has collected 17 hits this season and has an OBP of .315. He’s slugging .450 on the year.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Jameson will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks, his third start of the season.

Ketel Marte is batting .282 with seven doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks.

Corbin Carroll has hit four home runs to lead his team.

Christian Walker has racked up a team-high 14 runs batted in.

Geraldo Perdomo has five doubles, a triple, a home run and five walks while batting .364.

Padres and Diamondbacks Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat), Jose Herrera: day-to-day (Head)