Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 23, 2023

April 23, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Pittsburgh Pirates (15-7) will put their six-game win streak to the test when they host the Cincinnati Reds (7-14) Sunday at 1:35 PM ET on SportsNet PT. Bookmakers consider the Reds to be -112 favorites, while the Pirates are -107 underdogs to keep their streak alive.

Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Vince Velasquez.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds

Reds odds to win: -112
Pirates odds to win: -107
Spread: Reds -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023
Time: 1:35 PM ET
TV: SportsNet PT

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Who Will Win Reds vs. Pirates?

Reds and Pirates Betting Trends

The Reds have been the moneyline favorite four total times this season. They’ve gone 3-1 in those games.

Cincinnati has gone 3-1 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -112 or shorter (75% winning percentage).

This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 17 times and won 10, or 58.8%, of those games.

Pittsburgh has entered 16 games this season as the underdog by -107 or more and is 9-7 in those contests.

The Reds have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 11 times this season for an 11-10-0 record against the over/under.

The Pirates and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their 22 games with a total this season.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds are the 21st-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.2 runs per game (88 total).

Cincinnati is fifth-worst in MLB action with 15 home runs.

The Reds have the 20th-ranked batting average in the majors (.237).

Cincinnati strikes out 9.6 times per game, the No. 25 mark in MLB.

The Reds pitching staff ranks ninth in the majors with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cincinnati has a 5.14 team ERA that ranks 26th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 109.

Pittsburgh has hit 27 homers this season, which ranks sixth in the majors.

The Pirates rank 12th in MLB with a .252 team batting average.

Pittsburgh ranks 11th with an average of 8.0 strikeouts per game.

The Pirates strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 18th in MLB.

Pittsburgh has the 10th-best ERA (3.81) in the majors this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will send Greene (0-0) to the mound to make his fifth start of the season. He is 0-0 with a 4.24 ERA and 24 strikeouts through 17 2/3 innings pitched.

Jonathan India leads Cincinnati in batting average (.307) this season.

Spencer Steer has 18 hits and an OBP of .403 to go with a slugging percentage of .467 this season.

TJ Friedl has collected 22 base hits, an OBP of .367 and a slugging percentage of .472 this season.

Jake Fraley leads Cincinnati in runs batted in with 10 while batting .211.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates’ Velasquez (2-2) will make his fifth start of the season.

Bryan Reynolds has a team-best batting average of .294, while leading the Pirates in home runs (five) and runs batted in (18).

Andrew McCutchen has four doubles, four home runs and 12 walks while hitting .277.

Connor Joe is hitting .357 with six doubles, two triples, two home runs and seven walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .226 with five doubles, two triples, a home run and seven walks.

Reds and Pirates Injuries

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Pirates: Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chase De Jong: 15 Day IL (Knee), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)