Braves vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 24, 2023

April 24, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Ronald Acuna Jr., batting .374 this season, leads the Atlanta Braves (14-8) into a matchup with Luis Arraez (.444 AVG) and the Miami Marlins (12-10). The Braves are -275 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Truist Park, beginning at 7:20 PM ET live on BSSO.

Atlanta’s Spencer Strider and Miami’s Edward Cabrera have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

Braves odds to win: -275
Marlins odds to win: +224
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 24, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: BSSO

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Marlins?

Braves and Marlins Betting Trends

The Braves have put together a 12-8 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).

Atlanta has played as moneyline favorites of -275 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

The Marlins have won six, or 50%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +224 odds on it winning this game.

The Braves have played in 22 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-9-1).

The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in seven of their 21 chances.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves rank 12th in runs scored with 106, 4.8 per game.

Atlanta is fourth in MLB play with 30 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

The Braves’ .253 batting average is 10th-best in MLB.

Atlanta strikes out 9.7 times per game to rank 24th in the majors.

The Braves pitching staff ranks 16th in MLB with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta has a 3.47 team ERA that ranks sixth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored 72 runs (just 3.3 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

Miami’s 21 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins rank 12th in MLB with a .250 team batting average.

Miami ranks 15th in strikeouts per game (8.7) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have an 8.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

Miami has the 13th-ranked ERA (4.11) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Strider (2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season.

Acuna leads Atlanta in batting average (.374) this season while adding three home runs and 11 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (six) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .256.

Sean Murphy has collected 15 base hits, an OBP of .416 and a slugging percentage of .617 this season.

Ozzie Albies is batting .244 with an OBP of .283 and a slugging percentage of .442 this season.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Cabrera (1-1) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his fifth start of the season.

Arraez paces the Marlins with a .444 batting average.

Jorge Soler has hit five home runs to pace his team.

Bryan De La Cruz is batting .314 with five doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Jon Berti is batting .224 with three doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Braves and Marlins Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)