Phillies vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 25, 2023

April 24, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-12) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Seattle Mariners (10-12) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET on NBCS-PH. Bookmakers consider the Phillies -125 favorites to extend their streak, while the Mariners are +106 underdogs looking for the upset.

Bailey Falter starts for Philadelphia while Marco Gonzales is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Mariners Odds

Phillies odds to win: -125
Mariners odds to win: +106
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 25, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: NBCS-PH

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Mariners?

Phillies and Mariners Betting Trends

The Phillies have put together a 9-6 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).

Philadelphia has an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.

The Mariners have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won twice.

This season, Seattle has won one of its three games when it’s the underdog by at least +106 on the moneyline.

The Phillies have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 11 times this season for an 11-12-0 record against the over/under.

The Mariners’ games have gone over the total in 12 of their 22 chances.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 15th in runs scored with 104, 4.5 per game.

Philadelphia is 14th in baseball with 26 total home runs.

The Phillies have the third-best batting average in the majors (.276).

Philadelphia’s 9.4 strikeouts per game rank 25th in baseball.

The 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Phillies pitching staff ranks ninth in MLB.

Philadelphia has a 4.82 team ERA that ranks 23rd among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have scored the 18th-most runs in the league this season with 98 (4.5 per game).

Seattle’s 22 home runs rank 21st in Major League Baseball.

The Mariners’ .225 batting average ranks 25th in the league this season.

Seattle ranks 17th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.2 Ks per contest.

The Mariners average the 14th-most strikeouts per nine innings (9.1) in the league this season.

Seattle has pitched to a 3.78 ERA this season, which ranks 10th in baseball.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Falter makes the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts through 22 2/3 innings pitched.

Brandon Marsh leads Philadelphia with a .364 batting average. He’s also hit four homers and has 13 RBI.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 18 while batting .302 with three homers.

Nicholas Castellanos is slashing .307/.378/.489 this season for the Phillies.

Trea Turner has collected 29 hits this season and has an OBP of .352. He’s slugging .434 on the year.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Gonzales (1-0) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his fourth start of the season.

Ty France has collected a team-high 15 runs batted in.

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .245 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and eight walks.

Jarred Kelenic paces the Mariners with six home runs while putting up a team-best batting average of .319.

Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .244 with three doubles, five home runs and two walks.

Phillies and Mariners Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Taylor Trammell: 10 Day IL (Hand), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)